Articles | Volume 25, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4961-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4961-2025
Research article
 | 
15 Dec 2025
Research article |  | 15 Dec 2025

How accurate are operational dust models in predicting Particulate Matter (PM) levels in the Eastern Mediterranean Region? Insights from PM surface concentrations

Andreas Eleftheriou, Petros Mouzourides, Panayiotis Kouis, Nikos Kalivitis, Itzhak Katra, Emily Vasiliadou, Chrysanthos Savvides, Panayiotis Yiallouros, and Marina K.-A. Neophytou

Related authors

Spatial and temporal distribution of fine aerosol acidity in the Eastern Mediterranean
Anna Maria Neroladaki, Maria Tsagkaraki, Kyriaki Papoutsidaki, Kalliopi Tavernaraki, Filothei Boufidou, Pavlos Zarmpas, Irini Tsiodra, Eleni Liakakou, Aikaterini Bougiatioti, Giorgos Kouvarakis, Nikos Kalivitis, Christos Kaltsonoudis, Athanasios Karagioras, Dimitrios Balis, Konstantinos Michailidis, Konstantinos Kourtidis, Stelios Myriokefalitakis, Nikos Hatzianastassiou, Spyros N. Pandis, Athanasios Nenes, Nikolaos Mihalopoulos, and Maria Kanakidou
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 17953–17971, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-17953-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-17953-2025, 2025
Short summary
Heat and continental transport shape the variability of volatile organic compounds in the Eastern Mediterranean: Insights from multi-year observations and regional modeling
Anchal Garg, Maximilien Desservettaz, Aliki Christodoulou, Theodoros Christoudias, Vijay Punjaji Kanawade, Chrysanthos Savvides, Mihalis Vrekoussis, Shahid Naqui, Tuija Jokinen, Joseph Byron, Jonathan Williams, Nikos Mihalopoulos, Eleni Liakakou, Jean Sciare, and Efstratios Bourtsoukidis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5124,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5124, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).
Short summary
Assessing the global contribution of marine aerosols, terrestrial bioaerosols, and desert dust to ice-nucleating particle concentrations
Marios Chatziparaschos, Stelios Myriokefalitakis, Nikos Kalivitis, Nikos Daskalakis, Athanasios Nenes, María Gonçalves Ageitos, Montserrat Costa-Surós, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Mihalis Vrekoussis, and Maria Kanakidou
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 9085–9111, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-9085-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-9085-2025, 2025
Short summary
Persistent high PM pollution in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East: Insights from long-term observations and source apportionment in Cyprus
Elie Bimenyimana, Jean Sciare, Michael Pikridas, Konstantina Oikonomou, Minas Iakovides, Emily Vasiliadou, Chrysanthos Savvides, and Nikos Mihalopoulos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3234,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3234, 2025
Short summary
Assessing Spatial and Temporal Urban Air Quality Variabilities with the Vaisala AQT530 Monitor
Roubina Papaconstantinou, Spyros Bezantakos, Michael Pikridas, Moreno Parolin, Melina Stylianou, Chrysanthos Savvides, Jean Sciare, and George Biskos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5349649/v1,https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5349649/v1, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Achilleos, S., Al-Ozairi, E., Alahmad, B., Garshick, E., Neophytou, A. M., Bouhamra, W., Yassin, M. F., and Koutrakis, P.: Acute effects of air pollution on mortality: A 17-year analysis in Kuwait, Environment International, 126, 476–483, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2019.01.072, 2019. 
Achilleos, S., Mouzourides, P., Kalivitis, N., Katra, I., Kloog, I., Kouis, P., Middleton, N., Mihalopoulos, N., Neophytou, M., Panayiotou, A., Papatheodorou, S., Savvides, C., Tymvios, F., Vasiliadou, E., Yiallouros, P., and Koutrakis, P.: Spatio-temporal variability of desert dust storms in Eastern Mediterranean (Crete, Cyprus, Israel) between 2006 and 2017 using a uniform methodology, Science of The Total Environment, 714, 136693, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136693, 2020. 
Alfaro, S. C. and Gomes, L.: Modeling mineral aerosol production by wind erosion: Emission intensities and aerosol size distributions in source areas, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 18075–18084, https://doi.org/10.1029/2000JD900339, 2001. 
Basart, S., Pérez, C., Nickovic, S., Cuevas, E., and Baldasano, J. M.: Development and evaluation of the BSC-DREAM8b dust regional model over Northern Africa, the Mediterranean and the Middle East, Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, 64, 18539, https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusb.v64i0.18539, 2012. 
Download
Short summary
Desert dust storms are a significant environmental concern in the Eastern Mediterranean. This study compared eleven forecasting models to see how well they predict dust levels in the atmosphere. By checking their results against in-situ and satellite measurements, we found that some models work better than others, but none are perfect. These findings can help improve forecasting systems, making them more reliable and useful for protecting public health and preparing for extreme dust events.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint