Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 25, issue 12
Articles | Volume 25, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4961-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4961-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 25, issue 12
Research article
 | 
15 Dec 2025
Research article |  | 15 Dec 2025

How accurate are operational dust models in predicting Particulate Matter (PM) levels in the Eastern Mediterranean Region? Insights from PM surface concentrations

Andreas Eleftheriou, Petros Mouzourides, Panayiotis Kouis, Nikos Kalivitis, Itzhak Katra, Emily Vasiliadou, Chrysanthos Savvides, Panayiotis Yiallouros, and Marina K.-A. Neophytou

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Short summary
Desert dust storms are a significant environmental concern in the Eastern Mediterranean. This study compared eleven forecasting models to see how well they predict dust levels in the atmosphere. By checking their results against in-situ and satellite measurements, we found that some models work better than others, but none are perfect. These findings can help improve forecasting systems, making them more reliable and useful for protecting public health and preparing for extreme dust events.
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