Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 25, issue 8
Articles | Volume 25, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2613-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2613-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 25, issue 8
Research article
 | 
05 Aug 2025
Research article |  | 05 Aug 2025

Is considering (in)consistency between runs so useless for weather forecasting?

Hugo Marchal, François Bouttier, and Olivier Nuissier

Viewed

Total article views: 2,024 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
1,821 106 97 2,024 72 73
  • HTML: 1,821
  • PDF: 106
  • XML: 97
  • Total: 2,024
  • BibTeX: 72
  • EndNote: 73
Views and downloads (calculated since 14 Nov 2024)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 14 Nov 2024)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 2,024 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 1,958 with geography defined and 66 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 26 Sep 2025
Download
Short summary
This paper investigates the relationship between changes in weather forecasts and predictability, which has so far been considered weak. By studying how weather scenarios persist over successive forecasts, it appears that conclusions can be drawn about forecasts' reliability.
Read more
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint