Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 25, issue 6
Articles | Volume 25, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2081-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2081-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 25, issue 6
Research article
 | 
26 Jun 2025
Research article |  | 26 Jun 2025

Development of a wind-based storm surge model for the German Bight

Laura Schaffer, Andreas Boesch, Johanna Baehr, and Tim Kruschke

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Short summary
We developed a simple and effective model to predict storm surges in the German Bight, using wind data and a multiple linear regression approach. Trained on historical data from 1959 to 2022, our storm surge model demonstrates high predictive skill and performs as well as more complex models, despite its simplicity. It can predict both moderate and extreme storm surges, making it a valuable tool for future climate change studies.
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