Articles | Volume 25, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2081-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2081-2025
Research article
 | 
26 Jun 2025
Research article |  | 26 Jun 2025

Development of a wind-based storm surge model for the German Bight

Laura Schaffer, Andreas Boesch, Johanna Baehr, and Tim Kruschke

Data sets

ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present Hans Hersbach et al. https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.adbb2d47

Skew surge for tide gauge Cuxhaven (1959-2022) Andreas Boesch https://doi.org/10.60751/96dc-te47

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Short summary
We developed a simple and effective model to predict storm surges in the German Bight, using wind data and a multiple linear regression approach. Trained on historical data from 1959 to 2022, our storm surge model demonstrates high predictive skill and performs as well as more complex models, despite its simplicity. It can predict both moderate and extreme storm surges, making it a valuable tool for future climate change studies.
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