Articles | Volume 24, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-681-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Seasonal forecasting of local-scale soil moisture droughts with Global BROOK90: a case study of the European drought of 2018
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- Final revised paper (published on 01 Mar 2024)
- Preprint (discussion started on 17 Feb 2023)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2023-9', Anonymous Referee #1, 04 Apr 2023
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Ivan Vorobevskii, 12 May 2023
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RC2: 'Comment on nhess-2023-9', Anonymous Referee #2, 04 May 2023
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Ivan Vorobevskii, 12 May 2023
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (12 Jul 2023) by Marc van den Homberg
AR by Ivan Vorobevskii on behalf of the Authors (04 Sep 2023)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (02 Oct 2023) by Marc van den Homberg
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (11 Oct 2023)
RR by Anonymous Referee #4 (13 Oct 2023)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (22 Nov 2023) by Marc van den Homberg
AR by Ivan Vorobevskii on behalf of the Authors (23 Nov 2023)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
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ED: Publish as is (08 Jan 2024) by Marc van den Homberg
ED: Publish as is (17 Jan 2024) by Philip Ward (Executive editor)
AR by Ivan Vorobevskii on behalf of the Authors (18 Jan 2024)
The article discusses the negative impacts of prolonged soil moisture deficit, such as reduced vegetation growth, nutrient and water cycling, and increased fire and insect outbreaks. The paper notes that early warning through monitoring and forecasting can help mitigate these effects. The study presents a new version of Global BROOK90, which integrates seasonal meteorological forecasts to predict soil moisture drought on a local scale. The study finds that the hindcasted soil moisture fits well with the reference model runs only within the first month of lead time and that the probabilistic forecast is reasonable only for short-to-medium range lead times. Additionally, within the drought period, the ECMWF hindcast forcing results show overestimation of the soil moisture for most of the catchment, indicating an earlier end of the drought period.
I would like to commend the authors for their interesting work and analysis. The manuscript in its current state needs to be re-written. I am including a few points below:
The above are a few of the examples I noticed in the manuscript and for this I encourge the authors to revise the language/terminologies in the manuscript.