Articles | Volume 24, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3049-2024
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the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3049-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
13 Sep 2024
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 13 Sep 2024
| 13 Sep 2024
The 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model: overview and results
Laurentiu Danciu
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Swiss Seismological Service (SED), Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8009, Switzerland
Domenico Giardini
Swiss Seismological Service (SED), Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8009, Switzerland
Graeme Weatherill
Seismic Hazard and Risk Dynamics, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14467, Germany
Roberto Basili
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Roma 1, 00143, Roma, Italy
Shyam Nandan
Swiss Seismological Service (SED), Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8009, Switzerland
Andrea Rovida
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, 20133, Milan, Italy
Céline Beauval
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Univ. Gustave Eiffel, ISTerre, 38000, Grenoble, France
Pierre-Yves Bard
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Univ. Gustave Eiffel, ISTerre, 38000, Grenoble, France
Marco Pagani
GEM Foundation, Pavia, Italy
Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management, Nanyang Technological University, 639798, Singapore, Singapore
Celso G. Reyes
Swiss Seismological Service (SED), Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8009, Switzerland
Karin Sesetyan
Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Boğaziçi University, 34684, Istanbul, Türkiye
Susana Vilanova
Instituto Superior Tecnico (IST), University of Lisbon, 1049-001 Lisbon, Portugal
Fabrice Cotton
Seismic Hazard and Risk Dynamics, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, 14467, Germany
Stefan Wiemer
Swiss Seismological Service (SED), Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8009, Switzerland
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37 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Implementation of an interconnected fault system in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA): the Levant fault system S. El Kadri et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3397-2025
- Regional Site Response Model via Uncertainty Projected Mapping: Application to Kanto Region, Japan A. Chakraborty & S. Kotha https://doi.org/10.1002/esp4.70025
- Testing the 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) against observations from Romania E. Manea et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1-2025
- Ground motion model using simulated scenario earthquake records in Azores Plateau (Portugal) at bedrock K. Ji et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2025.109521
- Revision of empirical NGA-West2 horizontal ground-motion models using fixed-effects and mixed-effects regression and Bayesian inference K. Campbell et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-025-02218-6
- A zoning model for seismic hazard analysis of Finland and adjacent areas: A fusion of seismological and geological data P. Mäntyniemi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2025.230757
- Seismicity and deformation of the mobile continental lithosphere: An overview on the Alpine and Apennines orogens C. Chiarabba et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105299
- Influence of rupture geometry in rapid earthquake impact assessment F. Narlitepe et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2026.110207
- Constraints and Uncertainties in Recognizing Active Faults for Database Compilation: Insights from Greece R. Caputo et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences16070255
- Consistency of seismic hazard estimates from a physics-based earthquake simulator: a case study in south-eastern Spain O. Gómez-Novell et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2691-2026
- Guidelines for the Scientific Evaluation of an NSHM: The Legacy of the MPS19 Italian Model W. Marzocchi et al. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120240248
- Uncovering the traces of unknown earthquakes at Segesta (NW Sicily, Italy): insights from multidisciplinary investigations C. Bottari et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07631-3
- Evaluating earthquake impacts in Oslo, Norway: a multi-method approach F. Ghione et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07588-3
- Integrated seismic and energy interventions on building envelopes using advanced composite and prefabricated panels: a state-of-the-art review C. Filippou et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dibe.2026.100940
- Critical evaluation of strong ground motions in Izmir and implications for future earthquake simulation results Ş. Tuna https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1231-2026
- Downtime-based seismic assessment: insights from new and retrofitted RC buildings in Italy G. Mucedero et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prostr.2025.12.249
- Pitfalls in the management of induced seismicity J. Bommer https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-026-10366-8
- Seismic performance of tunnels and verification of available seismic risk models for the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes S. Apostolaki et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2024.106185
- An updated, homogeneous, and declustered earthquake catalog for South Korea and neighboring regions S. Maiti & B. Kim https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4021-2025
- A simplified holistic framework to understand the sensitivity of seismic risk to hazard variability A. Gkimprixis https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-025-02098-w
- Consistency between a strain rate model and the ESHM20 earthquake rate forecast in Europe: insights for seismic hazard B. Donniol Jouve et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1789-2025
- Review of paleoseismological records along the North Anatolian Fault (NW Türkiye), 1991–2025 CE R. Gastineau et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2026.105546
- An Interdisciplinary Workflow for the Seismic Safety Assessment of Archaeological Assets: The Pietrabbondante’s Site (Italy) T. Fierro et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/15583058.2026.2691516
- Overview of seismic hazard studies in Central America: A comparative analysis of results G. Carlos et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsames.2025.105630
- Identifying Suitable Ground Motion Prediction Equations for Taiwan Using New PGA Records in the Region: A Data-Driven Method J. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1061/NHREFO.NHENG-2440
- Near-Real-Time Integration of Multi-Source Seismic Data J. Melgarejo-Hernández et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/s26020451
- An efficient finite element framework for nonlinear seismic soil-foundation-structure interaction in shallow-founded squat masonry structures O. Akan et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2026.110520
- An operational framework for workplace risk assessment of healthcare facilities in seismic-prone areas A. Sandoli et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.105060
- Numerical study of the effects of tilting base on seismic out-of-plane response of one-way spanning unreinforced masonry walls A. Ghezelbash et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fbuil.2026.1824451
- On the Seismic Hazard Regulations for NPP Sites in Europe: A Controversial Case in Slovenia L. Sirovich & K. Decker https://doi.org/10.1785/0220250329
- Seismicity patterns and seismogenic framework for Northeast India: implications for regional hazard assessment K. Soni & D. Shanker https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-026-10403-6
- Vulnerability Assessment of Karst Spring Failure and Water Quality Changes Induced by Earthquakes I. Andrić et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17233442
- A Scientific Vision and Roadmap for Earthquake Rupture Forecast Developments, A USGS Perspective E. Field et al. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120240217
- FQSHA: An open-source Python software for fault-based seismic hazard assessment N. Tavakolizadeh et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.softx.2025.102339
- Strong earthquakes on the French-Italian Mediterranean Riviera C. Larroque et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03407-0
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 14 Jul 2026
Editorial statement
The 2020 update of the European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) is the most recent and up-to-date assessment of seismic hazard for the Euro-Mediterranean region.
The 2020 update of the European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) is the most recent and up-to-date...
Short summary
The 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) is the latest seismic hazard assessment update for the Euro-Mediterranean region. This state-of-the-art model delivers a broad range of hazard results, including hazard curves, maps, and uniform hazard spectra. ESHM20 provides two hazard maps as informative references in the next update of the European Seismic Design Code (CEN EC8), and it also provides a key input to the first earthquake risk model for Europe.
The 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) is the latest seismic hazard assessment update...
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