Articles | Volume 24, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1017-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1017-2024
Research article
 | 
28 Mar 2024
Research article |  | 28 Mar 2024

The influence of aftershocks on seismic hazard analysis: a case study from Xichang and the surrounding areas

Qing Wu, Guijuan Lai, Jian Wu, and Jinmeng Bi

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2023-30', Anonymous Referee #1, 19 Jul 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Qing Wu, 25 Jul 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on nhess-2023-30', Matteo Taroni, 18 Oct 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Qing Wu, 19 Oct 2023
  • RC3: 'Comment on nhess-2023-30', Anonymous Referee #3, 20 Oct 2023
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Qing Wu, 20 Oct 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (24 Oct 2023) by Oded Katz
AR by Qing Wu on behalf of the Authors (08 Dec 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (12 Dec 2023) by Oded Katz
RR by Matteo Taroni (28 Dec 2023)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (04 Jan 2024)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (24 Jan 2024) by Oded Katz
AR by Qing Wu on behalf of the Authors (31 Jan 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (14 Feb 2024) by Oded Katz
AR by Qing Wu on behalf of the Authors (18 Feb 2024)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Aftershocks are typically ignored for traditional probabilistic seismic hazard analyses, which underestimate the seismic hazard to some extent and may cause potential risks. A probabilistic seismic hazard analysis based on the Monte Carlo method was combined with the Omi–Reasenberg–Jones model to systematically study how aftershocks impact seismic hazard analyses. The influence of aftershocks on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis can exceed 50 %.
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