Articles | Volume 23, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1453-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1453-2023
Research article
 | 
20 Apr 2023
Research article |  | 20 Apr 2023

Hydrological drought forecasting under a changing environment in the Luanhe River basin

Min Li, Mingfeng Zhang, Runxiang Cao, Yidi Sun, and Xiyuan Deng

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Short summary
It is an important disaster reduction strategy to forecast hydrological drought. In order to analyse the impact of human activities on hydrological drought, we constructed the human activity factor based on the method of restoration. With the increase of human index (HI) value, hydrological droughts tend to transition to more severe droughts. The conditional distribution model involving of human activity factor can further improve the forecasting accuracy of drought in the Luanhe River basin.
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