Articles | Volume 23, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1045-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1045-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
10 Mar 2023
Research article |
| 10 Mar 2023
| 10 Mar 2023
Human influence on growing-period frosts like in early April 2021 in central France
Robert Vautard
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, CNRS, Sorbonne Université, Université de Versailles – Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, 78280, Guyancourt, France
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut, De Bilt, the Netherlands
deceased, 12 October 2021
Rémy Bonnet
Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, CNRS, Sorbonne Université, Université de Versailles – Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, 78280, Guyancourt, France
School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, United Kingdom
Yoann Robin
Direction de la Climatoogie et des Services Climatiques, Météo-France, 31100, Toulouse, France
Sarah Kew
Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut, De Bilt, the Netherlands
Sjoukje Philip
Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut, De Bilt, the Netherlands
Jean-Michel Soubeyroux
Direction de la Climatoogie et des Services Climatiques, Météo-France, 31100, Toulouse, France
Brigitte Dubuisson
Direction de la Climatoogie et des Services Climatiques, Météo-France, 31100, Toulouse, France
Nicolas Viovy
Laboratoire des Science du Climat et de l'Environnement, CEA, CNRS, Université de Versailles – Saint Quentin en Yvelines, IPSL, 91191, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Markus Reichstein
Department of Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, 07701 Jena, Germany
Friederike Otto
Grantham Institute, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom
Iñaki Garcia de Cortazar-Atauri
INRAE, US AgroClim, 84914 Avignon, France
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Cited
7 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Evaluation of Daily Temperature Extremes in the ECMWF Operational Weather Forecasts and ERA5 Reanalysis F. Lopes et al. 10.3390/atmos15010093
- The Spatiotemporal Evolution of the Growing Degree Days Agroclimatic Index for Viticulture over the Northern Mediterranean Basin I. Charalampopoulos et al. 10.3390/atmos15040485
- Analysis of the spatial variability of temperature with the aim of improving the location of wind machines C. Le Cap et al. 10.1007/s00704-023-04642-7
- A method for estimating the effect of climate change on monthly mean temperatures: September 2023 and other recent record‐warm months in Helsinki, Finland M. Rantanen et al. 10.1002/asl.1216
- A climate-change attribution retrospective of some impactful weather extremes of 2021 D. Faranda et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-1311-2022
- Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia M. Vujadinović Mandić et al. 10.3390/atmos13060948
- Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties B. François & M. Vrac 10.5194/nhess-23-21-2023
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Evaluation of Daily Temperature Extremes in the ECMWF Operational Weather Forecasts and ERA5 Reanalysis F. Lopes et al. 10.3390/atmos15010093
- The Spatiotemporal Evolution of the Growing Degree Days Agroclimatic Index for Viticulture over the Northern Mediterranean Basin I. Charalampopoulos et al. 10.3390/atmos15040485
- Analysis of the spatial variability of temperature with the aim of improving the location of wind machines C. Le Cap et al. 10.1007/s00704-023-04642-7
- A method for estimating the effect of climate change on monthly mean temperatures: September 2023 and other recent record‐warm months in Helsinki, Finland M. Rantanen et al. 10.1002/asl.1216
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A climate-change attribution retrospective of some impactful weather extremes of 2021 D. Faranda et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-1311-2022
- Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia M. Vujadinović Mandić et al. 10.3390/atmos13060948
- Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties B. François & M. Vrac 10.5194/nhess-23-21-2023
Latest update: 24 Apr 2024
Short summary
A deep frost occurred in early April 2021, inducing severe damages in grapevine and fruit trees in France. We found that such extreme frosts occurring after the start of the growing season such as those of April 2021 are currently about 2°C colder [0.5 °C to 3.3 °C] in observations than in preindustrial climate. This observed intensification of growing-period frosts is attributable, at least in part, to human-caused climate change, making the 2021 event 50 % more likely [10 %–110 %].
A deep frost occurred in early April 2021, inducing severe damages in grapevine and fruit trees...
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