Articles | Volume 22, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1863-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1863-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Generating reliable estimates of tropical-cyclone-induced coastal hazards along the Bay of Bengal for current and future climates using synthetic tracks
Tim Willem Bart Leijnse
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Deltares, Delft, 2600MH, the Netherlands
Alessio Giardino
Deltares, Delft, 2600MH, the Netherlands
Asian Development Bank, 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550, Metro Manila, the Philippines
Kees Nederhoff
Deltares USA, 8601 Georgia Ave., Silver Spring, MD 20910, USA
Sofia Caires
Deltares, Delft, 2600MH, the Netherlands
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Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Tropical cyclone simulation models for resilience engineering – A review Y. Shi et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.105042
- Rhizosphere engineering for semiarid tropics: prospects and bottlenecks A. Yadav et al. 10.20935/AcadBiol6075
- Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events D. Faranda et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.110.041001
- Simulating sea level extremes from synthetic low-pressure systems J. Särkkä et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1835-2024
- Rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico is more likely during marine heatwaves S. Radfar et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01578-2
- Multi-Criterion Analysis of Cyclone Risk along the Coast of Tamil Nadu, India—A Geospatial Approach S. Saravanan et al. 10.3390/ijgi12080341
- Redefining design wave conditions in the Gulf of Mexico under a changing climate C. Appendini et al. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2025.121685
- Estimating tropical cyclone-induced wind, waves, and surge: A general methodology based on representative tracks T. Bakker et al. 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2022.104154
- From decades to years: Rising seas and cyclones amplify Bangladesh’s storm-tide hazards in a warming climate J. Qiu et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101273
- Climate change and water-related threats in the Indian Sundarbans: food security and management implications P. Datta et al. 10.1080/07900627.2023.2224459
- A statistical method to quantify the tide-surge interaction effects with application in probabilistic prediction of extreme storm tides along the northern coasts of the South China Sea W. Zhuge et al. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2024.117151
- Storm surge hazard over Bengal delta: a probabilistic–deterministic modelling approach M. Khan et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-2359-2022
- Tropical or extratropical cyclones: what drives the compound flood hazard, impact, and risk for the United States Southeast Atlantic coast? K. Nederhoff et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06552-x
- Future projections of storm surges and associated coastal inundation along the east coast of India M. PLN & S. Kolukula 10.2166/wcc.2023.358
- Generating reliable estimates of tropical-cyclone-induced coastal hazards along the Bay of Bengal for current and future climates using synthetic tracks T. Leijnse et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-1863-2022
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Tropical cyclone simulation models for resilience engineering – A review Y. Shi et al. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.105042
- Rhizosphere engineering for semiarid tropics: prospects and bottlenecks A. Yadav et al. 10.20935/AcadBiol6075
- Statistical physics and dynamical systems perspectives on geophysical extreme events D. Faranda et al. 10.1103/PhysRevE.110.041001
- Simulating sea level extremes from synthetic low-pressure systems J. Särkkä et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1835-2024
- Rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico is more likely during marine heatwaves S. Radfar et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01578-2
- Multi-Criterion Analysis of Cyclone Risk along the Coast of Tamil Nadu, India—A Geospatial Approach S. Saravanan et al. 10.3390/ijgi12080341
- Redefining design wave conditions in the Gulf of Mexico under a changing climate C. Appendini et al. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2025.121685
- Estimating tropical cyclone-induced wind, waves, and surge: A general methodology based on representative tracks T. Bakker et al. 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2022.104154
- From decades to years: Rising seas and cyclones amplify Bangladesh’s storm-tide hazards in a warming climate J. Qiu et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101273
- Climate change and water-related threats in the Indian Sundarbans: food security and management implications P. Datta et al. 10.1080/07900627.2023.2224459
- A statistical method to quantify the tide-surge interaction effects with application in probabilistic prediction of extreme storm tides along the northern coasts of the South China Sea W. Zhuge et al. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2024.117151
- Storm surge hazard over Bengal delta: a probabilistic–deterministic modelling approach M. Khan et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-2359-2022
- Tropical or extratropical cyclones: what drives the compound flood hazard, impact, and risk for the United States Southeast Atlantic coast? K. Nederhoff et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06552-x
- Future projections of storm surges and associated coastal inundation along the east coast of India M. PLN & S. Kolukula 10.2166/wcc.2023.358
Latest update: 30 May 2025
Short summary
Deriving reliable estimates of design conditions resulting from tropical cyclones is a challenge of high relevance to coastal engineering. Here, having few historical observations is overcome by using the Tropical Cyclone Wind Statistical Estimation Tool (TCWiSE) to create thousands of synthetic realizations, representative of 1000 years of tropical cyclone activity for the Bay of Bengal. The use of synthetic tracks is shown to provide more reliable wind speed, storm surge and wave estimates.
Deriving reliable estimates of design conditions resulting from tropical cyclones is a challenge...
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