Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1499–1518, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1499-2022
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1499–1518, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1499-2022
Research article
27 Apr 2022
Research article | 27 Apr 2022

Effective uncertainty visualization for aftershock forecast maps

Max Schneider et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2021-237', Anonymous Referee #1, 27 Sep 2021
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Max Schneider, 26 Nov 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on nhess-2021-237', Mary Anne Clive, 13 Oct 2021
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Max Schneider, 26 Nov 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (02 Dec 2021) by Maria Ana Baptista
AR by Max Schneider on behalf of the Authors (25 Jan 2022)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (07 Feb 2022) by Maria Ana Baptista
AR by Max Schneider on behalf of the Authors (17 Feb 2022)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (09 Mar 2022) by Maria Ana Baptista
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Short summary
Aftershock forecasts are desired for risk response, but public communications often omit their uncertainty. We evaluate three uncertainty visualization designs for aftershock forecast maps. In an online experiment, participants complete map-reading and judgment tasks relevant across natural hazards. While all designs reveal which areas are likely to have many or no aftershocks, one design can also convey that areas with high uncertainty can have more aftershocks than forecasted.
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