Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1287-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1287-2022
Research article
 | 
12 Apr 2022
Research article |  | 12 Apr 2022

Tropical cyclone storm surge probabilities for the east coast of the United States: a cyclone-based perspective

Katherine L. Towey, James F. Booth, Alejandra Rodriguez Enriquez, and Thomas Wahl

Related authors

Influence of storm type on compound flood drivers of a mid-latitude coastal urban environment
Ziyu Chen, Philip M. Orton, James F. Booth, Thomas Wahl, Arthur DeGaetano, Joel Kaatz, and Radley M. Horton
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 3101–3117, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-3101-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-3101-2025, 2025
Short summary
Large discrepancies between event- and response-based compound flood hazard estimates
Sara Santamaria-Aguilar, Pravin Maduwantha, Alejandra R. Enriquez, and Thomas Wahl
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1938,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1938, 2025
Short summary
Generating Boundary Conditions for Compound Flood Modeling in a Probabilistic Framework
Pravin Maduwantha, Thomas Wahl, Sara Santamaria-Aguilar, Robert Jane, Sönke Dangendorf, Hanbeen Kim, and Gabriele Villarini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1557,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1557, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).
Short summary
Review article: A comprehensive review of compound flooding literature with a focus on coastal and estuarine regions
Joshua Green, Ivan D. Haigh, Niall Quinn, Jeff Neal, Thomas Wahl, Melissa Wood, Dirk Eilander, Marleen de Ruiter, Philip Ward, and Paula Camus
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 747–816, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-747-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-747-2025, 2025
Short summary
Identifying Synoptic Controls on Boundary Layer Thermodynamic and Cloud Properties in a Regional Forecast Model
Jordan Eissner, David Mechem, Yi Jin, Virendra Ghate, and James Booth
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3438,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3438, 2025
Short summary

Related subject area

Atmospheric, Meteorological and Climatological Hazards
Temporal dynamic vulnerability – impact of antecedent events on residential building losses to wind storm events in Germany
Andreas Trojand, Henning W. Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2331–2350, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2331-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2331-2025, 2025
Short summary
Verifying the relationships among the variabilities of summer rainfall extremes over Japan in the d4PDF climate ensemble, Pacific sea surface temperature, and monsoon activity
Shao-Yi Lee, Sicheng He, and Tetsuya Takemi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2225–2253, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2225-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2225-2025, 2025
Short summary
Tree fall along railway lines: modelling the impact of wind and other meteorological factors
Rike Lorenz, Nico Becker, Barry Gardiner, Uwe Ulbrich, Marc Hanewinkel, and Benjamin Schmitz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2179–2196, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2179-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2179-2025, 2025
Short summary
The probabilistic skill of extended-range heat wave forecasts over Europe
Natalia Korhonen, Otto Hyvärinen, Virpi Kollanus, Timo Lanki, Juha Jokisalo, Risto Kosonen, David S. Richardson, and Kirsti Jylhä
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1865–1879, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1865-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1865-2025, 2025
Short summary
An appraisal of the value of simulated weather data for quantifying coastal flood hazard in the Netherlands
Cees de Valk and Henk van den Brink
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1769–1788, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1769-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1769-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Akbar, M. K., Kanjanda, S., and Musinguzi, A.: Effect of bottom friction, wind drag coefficient, and meteorological forcing in hindcast of hurricane Rita storm surge using SWAN + ADCIRC model, J. Mar. Sci. Eng., 5, 38, https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse5030038, 2017. 
Bauer, M., Tselioudis, G., and Rossow, W. B.: A new climatology for investigating storm influences in and on the extratropics, J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 55, 1287–1303, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0245.1, 2016. 
Bloemendaal, N., Muis, S., Haarsma, R. J., Verlaan, M., Apecechea, M. I., de Moel, H., Ward, P. J., and Aerts, J. C. J. H.: Global modeling of tropical cyclone storm surges using high-resolution forecasts, Clim. Dynam., 52, 5031–5044, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4430-x, 2019. 
Booth, J. F., Rieder, H. E., and Kushnir, Y.: Comparing hurricane extratropical storm surge for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coast of the United States from 1979–2013, Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 094004, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094004, 2016. 
Camelo, J., Mayo, T. L., and Gutmann, E. D.: Projected climate change impacts on hurricane storm surge inundation in the coastal United States, Front. Built Environ., 6, 588049, https://doi.org/10.3389/fbuil.2020.588049, 2020. 
Download
Short summary
Coastal flooding due to storm surge from tropical cyclones is a significant hazard. The influence of tropical cyclone characteristics, including its proximity, intensity, path angle, and speed, on the magnitude of storm surge is examined along the eastern United States. No individual characteristic was found to be strongly related to how much surge occurred at a site, though there is an increased likelihood of high surge occurring when tropical cyclones are both strong and close to a location.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint