Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1287-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1287-2022
Research article
 | 
12 Apr 2022
Research article |  | 12 Apr 2022

Tropical cyclone storm surge probabilities for the east coast of the United States: a cyclone-based perspective

Katherine L. Towey, James F. Booth, Alejandra Rodriguez Enriquez, and Thomas Wahl

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This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).
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Cited articles

Akbar, M. K., Kanjanda, S., and Musinguzi, A.: Effect of bottom friction, wind drag coefficient, and meteorological forcing in hindcast of hurricane Rita storm surge using SWAN + ADCIRC model, J. Mar. Sci. Eng., 5, 38, https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse5030038, 2017. 
Bauer, M., Tselioudis, G., and Rossow, W. B.: A new climatology for investigating storm influences in and on the extratropics, J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 55, 1287–1303, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0245.1, 2016. 
Bloemendaal, N., Muis, S., Haarsma, R. J., Verlaan, M., Apecechea, M. I., de Moel, H., Ward, P. J., and Aerts, J. C. J. H.: Global modeling of tropical cyclone storm surges using high-resolution forecasts, Clim. Dynam., 52, 5031–5044, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4430-x, 2019. 
Booth, J. F., Rieder, H. E., and Kushnir, Y.: Comparing hurricane extratropical storm surge for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coast of the United States from 1979–2013, Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 094004, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094004, 2016. 
Camelo, J., Mayo, T. L., and Gutmann, E. D.: Projected climate change impacts on hurricane storm surge inundation in the coastal United States, Front. Built Environ., 6, 588049, https://doi.org/10.3389/fbuil.2020.588049, 2020. 
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Short summary
Coastal flooding due to storm surge from tropical cyclones is a significant hazard. The influence of tropical cyclone characteristics, including its proximity, intensity, path angle, and speed, on the magnitude of storm surge is examined along the eastern United States. No individual characteristic was found to be strongly related to how much surge occurred at a site, though there is an increased likelihood of high surge occurring when tropical cyclones are both strong and close to a location.
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