A new view on the risk of typhoon occurrence  in the western North Pacific

Ng, Kelvin S.; Leckebusch, Gregor C.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-663-2021

Articles | Volume 21, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-663-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-663-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 21, issue 2

Research article

|

16 Feb 2021

Research article |

| 16 Feb 2021

A new view on the risk of typhoon occurrence in the western North Pacific

Kelvin S. Ng and Gregor C. Leckebusch

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Final revised paper (published on 16 Feb 2021)
Preprint (discussion started on 22 Apr 2020)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review Report for nhess-2020-74', Anonymous Referee #1, 03 Aug 2020
- AC1: 'Response to Reviewer 1’s comments', Kelvin Ng, 21 Oct 2020
RC2: 'Comments on A New View on Risk of Typhoon Occurrence in the Western North Pacific', Anonymous Referee #2, 21 Aug 2020
- AC2: 'Response to Reviewer 2’s comments', Kelvin Ng, 21 Oct 2020
RC3: 'Review NHESS manuscript Ref https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2020-74', Anonymous Referee #3, 26 Aug 2020
- AC3: 'Response to Reviewer 3’s comments', Kelvin Ng, 21 Oct 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (15 Nov 2020) by Piero Lionello

AR by Kelvin Ng on behalf of the Authors (27 Nov 2020) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (23 Dec 2020) by Piero Lionello

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (30 Dec 2020)

ED: Publish as is (10 Jan 2021) by Piero Lionello

Short summary

Due to the rarity of high-impact tropical cyclones (TCs), it is difficult to achieve a robust TC hazard assessment based on historical observations only. Here we present an approach to construct a TC event set that contains more than 10 000 years of TC events by using a computationally simple and efficient method. This event set has similar characteristics as the historical observations but includes a better representation of intense TCs. Thus, a robust TC hazard assessment can be achieved.