Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-53-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-53-2021
Research article
 | 
08 Jan 2021
Research article |  | 08 Jan 2021

Modelling a tropical-like cyclone in the Mediterranean Sea under present and warmer climate

Shunya Koseki, Priscilla A. Mooney, William Cabos, Miguel Ángel Gaertner, Alba de la Vara, and Juan Jesus González-Alemán

Related authors

Dakar Niño under global warming investigated by a high-resolution regionally coupled model
Shunya Koseki, Rubén Vázquez, William Cabos, Claudia Gutiérrez, Dmitry V. Sein, and Marie-Lou Bachèlery
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1401–1416, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1401-2024, 2024
Short summary
Assessing the tropical Atlantic biogeochemical processes in the Norwegian Earth System Model
Shunya Koseki, Lander R. Crespo, Jerry Tjiputra, Filippa Fransner, Noel S. Keenlyside, and David Rivas
Biogeosciences, 21, 4149–4168, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4149-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-4149-2024, 2024
Short summary
Influences of Lake Malawi on the spatial and diurnal variability of local precipitation
Shunya Koseki and Priscilla A. Mooney
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2795–2812, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2795-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2795-2019, 2019
Short summary
Frontogenesis of the Angola–Benguela Frontal Zone
Shunya Koseki, Hervé Giordani, and Katerina Goubanova
Ocean Sci., 15, 83–96, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-83-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-83-2019, 2019
Short summary

Related subject area

Atmospheric, Meteorological and Climatological Hazards
GTDI: a game-theory-based integrated drought index implying hazard-causing and hazard-bearing impact change
Xiaowei Zhao, Tianzeng Yang, Hongbo Zhang, Tian Lan, Chaowei Xue, Tongfang Li, Zhaoxia Ye, Zhifang Yang, and Yurou Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3479–3495, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3479-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3479-2024, 2024
Short summary
Insurance loss model vs. meteorological loss index – how comparable are their loss estimates for European windstorms?
Julia Moemken, Inovasita Alifdini, Alexandre M. Ramos, Alexandros Georgiadis, Aidan Brocklehurst, Lukas Braun, and Joaquim G. Pinto
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3445–3460, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3445-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3445-2024, 2024
Short summary
Intense rains in Israel associated with the train effect
Baruch Ziv, Uri Dayan, Lidiya Shendrik, and Elyakom Vadislavsky
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3267–3277, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3267-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3267-2024, 2024
Short summary
Convection-permitting climate model representation of severe convective wind gusts and future changes in southeastern Australia
Andrew Brown, Andrew Dowdy, and Todd P. Lane
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3225–3243, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3225-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3225-2024, 2024
Short summary
On the potential of using smartphone sensors for wildfire hazard estimation through citizen science
Hofit Shachaf, Colin Price, Dorita Rostkier-Edelstein, and Cliff Mass
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3035–3047, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3035-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3035-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Akhtar, N., Brauch, J., Dobler, A., Béranger, K., and Ahrens, B.: Medicanes in an ocean-atmosphere coupled regional climate model, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 2189–2201, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2189-2014, 2014. 
Bakkensen, L. A.: Mediterranean Hurricanes and Associated Damages Estimates, J. Ext. Events, 4, 1750008, https://doi.org/10.1142/S2345737617500087, 2017. 
Bouin, M.-N. and Lebeaupin Brossier, C.: Surface processes in the 7 November 2014 medicane from air-sea coupled high resolution numerical modeling, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 6861–6881, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-6861-2020, 2020. 
Caniaux, G., Giordani, H., Redelsperger, J.-L., Guichard, F., Key, E., and Wade, M.: Coupling between the Atlantic cold tongue and the West African monsoon in boreal spring and summer, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 116, C04003, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JC006570, 2011. 
Carrió, D. S., Homar, V., Jansa, A., Romero, R., and Picornell, M. A.: Tropicalization process of the 7 November 2014 Mediterranean cyclone: Numerical sensitivity study, Atmos. Res., 197, 300–312, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.07.018, 2017. 
Download
Short summary
This study investigated one case of a tropical-like cyclone over the Mediterranean Sea under present and future climate conditions with a regional climate model. A pseudo global warming (PGW) technique is employed to simulate the cyclone under future climate, and our simulation showed that the cyclone is moderately strengthened by warmer climate. Other PGW simulations where only ocean and atmosphere are warmed reveal the interesting results that both have counteracting effects on the cyclone.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint