Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 53–71, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-53-2021
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 53–71, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-53-2021

Research article 08 Jan 2021

Research article | 08 Jan 2021

Modelling a tropical-like cyclone in the Mediterranean Sea under present and warmer climate

Shunya Koseki et al.

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Cited articles

Akhtar, N., Brauch, J., Dobler, A., Béranger, K., and Ahrens, B.: Medicanes in an ocean-atmosphere coupled regional climate model, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 2189–2201, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2189-2014, 2014. 
Bakkensen, L. A.: Mediterranean Hurricanes and Associated Damages Estimates, J. Ext. Events, 4, 1750008, https://doi.org/10.1142/S2345737617500087, 2017. 
Bouin, M.-N. and Lebeaupin Brossier, C.: Surface processes in the 7 November 2014 medicane from air-sea coupled high resolution numerical modeling, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 6861–6881, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-6861-2020, 2020. 
Caniaux, G., Giordani, H., Redelsperger, J.-L., Guichard, F., Key, E., and Wade, M.: Coupling between the Atlantic cold tongue and the West African monsoon in boreal spring and summer, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 116, C04003, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JC006570, 2011. 
Carrió, D. S., Homar, V., Jansa, A., Romero, R., and Picornell, M. A.: Tropicalization process of the 7 November 2014 Mediterranean cyclone: Numerical sensitivity study, Atmos. Res., 197, 300–312, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.07.018, 2017. 
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This study investigated one case of a tropical-like cyclone over the Mediterranean Sea under present and future climate conditions with a regional climate model. A pseudo global warming (PGW) technique is employed to simulate the cyclone under future climate, and our simulation showed that the cyclone is moderately strengthened by warmer climate. Other PGW simulations where only ocean and atmosphere are warmed reveal the interesting results that both have counteracting effects on the cyclone.
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