Modelling a tropical-like cyclone in the Mediterranean Sea  under present and warmer climate

Koseki, Shunya; Mooney, Priscilla A.; Cabos, William; Gaertner, Miguel Ángel; de la Vara, Alba; González-Alemán, Juan Jesus

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-53-2021

Articles | Volume 21, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-53-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-53-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 21, issue 1

Research article

|

08 Jan 2021

Research article |

| 08 Jan 2021

Modelling a tropical-like cyclone in the Mediterranean Sea under present and warmer climate

Shunya Koseki, Priscilla A. Mooney, William Cabos, Miguel Ángel Gaertner, Alba de la Vara, and Juan Jesus González-Alemán

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-53-2021-supplement

Data sets

Observed cyclone track data NOAA https://www.ssd.noaa. gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2011/tdata/med/01M.html

ERA-Interim ECMWF https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era-interim

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Short summary

This study investigated one case of a tropical-like cyclone over the Mediterranean Sea under present and future climate conditions with a regional climate model. A pseudo global warming (PGW) technique is employed to simulate the cyclone under future climate, and our simulation showed that the cyclone is moderately strengthened by warmer climate. Other PGW simulations where only ocean and atmosphere are warmed reveal the interesting results that both have counteracting effects on the cyclone.