Articles | Volume 21, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3519-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3519-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Stochastic system dynamics modelling for climate change water scarcity assessment of a reservoir in the Italian Alps
Institute for Earth Observation, Eurac Research, Viale Druso 1, 39100, Bolzano, Italy
Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice, Via Torino 155, 30172, Venice, Italy
Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS), United Nations University, Platz der Vereinten Nationen 1, 53113 Bonn, Germany
Janez Sušnik
Land & Water Management, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, 2601DA, Delft, the Netherlands
Stefan Schneiderbauer
Institute for Earth Observation, Eurac Research, Viale Druso 1, 39100, Bolzano, Italy
Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS), United Nations University, Platz der Vereinten Nationen 1, 53113 Bonn, Germany
Department of Geography, University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa
Silvia Torresan
Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice, Via Torino 155, 30172, Venice, Italy
Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), via Augusto Imperatore 16, 73100, Lecce, Italy
Andrea Critto
Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice, Via Torino 155, 30172, Venice, Italy
Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), via Augusto Imperatore 16, 73100, Lecce, Italy
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Cited
9 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessment of Climate Change-Induced Water Scarcity Risk by Using a Coupled System Dynamics and Bayesian Network Modeling Approaches S. Dehghani et al. 10.1007/s11269-024-03843-7
- Evaluation of nutrient loads conveyed to the deep subalpine lakes of Northern Italy through their main tributaries P. Dezuanni et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1524250
- On the use of Participatory System Dynamics Modelling for WEF Nexus management: Hints from two case studies in the Mediterranean region A. Pagano et al. 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108012
- Learning from the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy to advance multi-hazard disaster risk management S. Terzi et al. 10.1016/j.pdisas.2022.100268
- Development of black ice prediction model using GIS-based multi-sensor model validation S. Hong et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-3435-2022
- Future droughts in northern Italy: high-resolution projections using EURO-CORDEX and MED-CORDEX ensembles A. Baronetti et al. 10.1007/s10584-022-03370-7
- Assessing agriculture's vulnerability to drought in European pre-Alpine regions R. Stephan et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-45-2023
- A Dynamic Evaluation of the Use of Natural Resources in Crop Rotation in Family Farming Production Units D. Vargas et al. 10.3390/resources14010017
- Climate Change Impact On Upper Layang Reservoir Operation N. Mohammad Fathilah et al. 10.59762/seer924712041120231103142514
8 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessment of Climate Change-Induced Water Scarcity Risk by Using a Coupled System Dynamics and Bayesian Network Modeling Approaches S. Dehghani et al. 10.1007/s11269-024-03843-7
- Evaluation of nutrient loads conveyed to the deep subalpine lakes of Northern Italy through their main tributaries P. Dezuanni et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1524250
- On the use of Participatory System Dynamics Modelling for WEF Nexus management: Hints from two case studies in the Mediterranean region A. Pagano et al. 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108012
- Learning from the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy to advance multi-hazard disaster risk management S. Terzi et al. 10.1016/j.pdisas.2022.100268
- Development of black ice prediction model using GIS-based multi-sensor model validation S. Hong et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-3435-2022
- Future droughts in northern Italy: high-resolution projections using EURO-CORDEX and MED-CORDEX ensembles A. Baronetti et al. 10.1007/s10584-022-03370-7
- Assessing agriculture's vulnerability to drought in European pre-Alpine regions R. Stephan et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-45-2023
- A Dynamic Evaluation of the Use of Natural Resources in Crop Rotation in Family Farming Production Units D. Vargas et al. 10.3390/resources14010017
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 19 Jul 2025
Short summary
This study combines outputs from multiple models with statistical assessments of past and future water availability and demand for the Santa Giustina reservoir (Autonomous Province of Trento, Italy). Considering future climate change scenarios, results show high reductions for stored volume and turbined water, with increasing frequency, duration and severity. These results call for the need to adapt to reductions in water availability and effects on the Santa Giustina reservoir management.
This study combines outputs from multiple models with statistical assessments of past and future...
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