Articles | Volume 21, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3519-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3519-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
19 Nov 2021
Research article |
| 19 Nov 2021
| 19 Nov 2021
Stochastic system dynamics modelling for climate change water scarcity assessment of a reservoir in the Italian Alps
Institute for Earth Observation, Eurac Research, Viale Druso 1, 39100, Bolzano, Italy
Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice, Via Torino 155, 30172, Venice, Italy
Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS), United Nations University, Platz der Vereinten Nationen 1, 53113 Bonn, Germany
Janez Sušnik
Land & Water Management, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, 2601DA, Delft, the Netherlands
Stefan Schneiderbauer
Institute for Earth Observation, Eurac Research, Viale Druso 1, 39100, Bolzano, Italy
Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS), United Nations University, Platz der Vereinten Nationen 1, 53113 Bonn, Germany
Department of Geography, University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa
Silvia Torresan
Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice, Via Torino 155, 30172, Venice, Italy
Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), via Augusto Imperatore 16, 73100, Lecce, Italy
Andrea Critto
Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca' Foscari University of Venice, Via Torino 155, 30172, Venice, Italy
Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), via Augusto Imperatore 16, 73100, Lecce, Italy
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Short summary
This study combines outputs from multiple models with statistical assessments of past and future water availability and demand for the Santa Giustina reservoir (Autonomous Province of Trento, Italy). Considering future climate change scenarios, results show high reductions for stored volume and turbined water, with increasing frequency, duration and severity. These results call for the need to adapt to reductions in water availability and effects on the Santa Giustina reservoir management.
This study combines outputs from multiple models with statistical assessments of past and future...
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