Articles | Volume 21, issue 8
Research article
30 Aug 2021
Research article |  | 30 Aug 2021

Modelling earthquake rates and associated uncertainties in the Marmara Region, Turkey

Thomas Chartier, Oona Scotti, Hélène Lyon-Caen, Keith Richard-Dinger, James H. Dieterich, and Bruce E. Shaw


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2020-387', José A. Alvarez-Gómez, 15 Mar 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on nhess-2020-387', Anonymous Referee #2, 16 Apr 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish as is (20 Jun 2021) by Filippos Vallianatos
AR by Thomas Chartier on behalf of the Authors (21 Jun 2021)  Author's response    Manuscript
Short summary
In order to evaluate the seismic risk, we first model the annual rate of occurrence of earthquakes on the faults near Istanbul. By using a novel modelling approach, we consider the fault system as a whole rather than each fault individually. We explore the hypotheses that are discussed in the scientific community concerning this fault system and compare the modelled results with local recorded data and a physics-based model, gaining new insights in particular on the largest possible earthquake.
Final-revised paper