Articles | Volume 21, issue 7
Research article
30 Jul 2021
Research article |  | 30 Jul 2021

Deep uncertainties in shoreline change projections: an extra-probabilistic approach applied to sandy beaches

Rémi Thiéblemont, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Jérémy Rohmer, Alexandra Toimil, Moisés Álvarez-Cuesta, and Iñigo J. Losada


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2020-412', Anonymous Referee #1, 02 Feb 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on nhess-2020-412', Anonymous Referee #2, 07 Feb 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (20 Apr 2021) by Ira Didenkulova
AR by Rémi Thiéblemont on behalf of the Authors (07 May 2021)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (21 May 2021) by Ira Didenkulova
AR by Rémi Thiéblemont on behalf of the Authors (02 Jun 2021)
Short summary
Sea level rise and its acceleration are projected to aggravate coastal erosion over the 21st century. Resulting shoreline projections are deeply uncertain, however, which constitutes a major challenge for coastal planning and management. Our work presents a new extra-probabilistic framework to develop future shoreline projections and shows that deep uncertainties could be drastically reduced by better constraining sea level projections and improving coastal impact models.
Final-revised paper