Articles | Volume 21, issue 7
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2215–2231, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2215-2021
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2215–2231, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2215-2021

Research article 23 Jul 2021

Research article | 23 Jul 2021

Leveraging multi-model season-ahead streamflow forecasts to trigger advanced flood preparedness in Peru

Colin Keating et al.

Model code and software

Peru Streamflow Prediction Colin Keating https://gitlab.com/ckeating/peru_streamflow_prediction

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Short summary
Disaster planning has historically underallocated resources for flood preparedness, but evidence supports reduced vulnerability via early actions. We evaluate the ability of multiple season-ahead streamflow prediction models to appropriately trigger early actions for the flood-prone Marañón River and Piura River in Peru. Our findings suggest that locally tailored statistical models may offer improved performance compared to operational physically based global models in low-data environments.
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