Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 171–186, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-171-2021
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 171–186, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-171-2021

Research article 18 Jan 2021

Research article | 18 Jan 2021

A methodology for attributing the role of climate change in extreme events: a global spectrally nudged storyline

Linda van Garderen et al.

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Cited articles

Barriopedro, D., Fischer, E. M., Luterbacher, J., Trigo, R., and Garcia-Herrera, R.: The Hot Summer of 2010: Redrawing the Temperature Record Map of Europe, Science, 332, 220–224, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1201224, 2011. 
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Black, E., Blackburn, M., Harrison, G., Hoskins, B., and Methven, J.: Factors contributing to the summer 2003 European heatwave, Weather, 59, 217–223, https://doi.org/10.1256/wea.74.04, 2004. 
Bony, S., Bellon, G., Klocke, D., Sherwood, S., Fermepin, S., and Denvil, S.: Robust direct effect of carbon dioxide on tropical circulation and regional precipitation, Nat. Geosci., 6, 447–451, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1799, 2013. 
Cattiaux, J., Vautard, R., Cassou, C., Yiou, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., and Codron, F.: Winter 2010 in Europe: A cold extreme in a warming climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L20704, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044613, 2010. 
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The storyline method is used to quantify the effect of climate change on a particular extreme weather event using a global atmospheric model by simulating the event with and without climate change. We present the method and its successful application for the climate change signals of the European 2003 and the Russian 2010 heatwaves.
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