Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for Tuzla  test site using Monte Carlo simulations

Bayraktar, Hafize Basak; Ozer Sozdinler, Ceren

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1741-2020

Articles | Volume 20, issue 6

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1741-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1741-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 20, issue 6

Research article

|

15 Jun 2020

Research article |

| 15 Jun 2020

Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for Tuzla test site using Monte Carlo simulations

Hafize Basak Bayraktar and Ceren Ozer Sozdinler

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Final revised paper (published on 15 Jun 2020)
Preprint (discussion started on 05 Sep 2019)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'tsunami hazard analysis', Anonymous Referee #1, 04 Nov 2019
- AC1: 'Author Response and Revised Manuscript', Hafize Başak Bayraktar, 08 Nov 2019
RC2: 'Comments on 'Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis For Tuzla Test Site Using Monte Carlo Simulations'', Anonymous Referee #2, 29 Nov 2019
- AC2: 'Author Response to RC2', Hafize Başak Bayraktar, 19 Dec 2019

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (23 Dec 2019) by Ira Didenkulova

AR by Svenja Lange on behalf of the Authors (20 Jan 2020) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (21 Jan 2020) by Ira Didenkulova

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (29 Jan 2020)

RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (08 Feb 2020)

ED: Publish as is (09 Feb 2020) by Ira Didenkulova

AR by Hafize Başak Bayraktar on behalf of the Authors (18 Feb 2020) Author's response Manuscript

Short summary

In this study, probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis was performed for the Tuzla region in case of a Prince Island fault rupture, which is the closest fault zone to the megacity Istanbul, and it has been silent for centuries. A synthetic earthquake catalog is generated using Monte Carlo simulations, and these events are used for tsunami analysis. The results of the study show that the probability of exceedance of 0.3 m tsunami wave height is bigger than 90 % for the next 50 and 100 years.