Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for Tuzla  test site using Monte Carlo simulations

Bayraktar, Hafize Basak; Ozer Sozdinler, Ceren

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1741-2020

Articles | Volume 20, issue 6

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1741-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1741-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 20, issue 6

Research article

|

15 Jun 2020

Research article |

| 15 Jun 2020

Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for Tuzla test site using Monte Carlo simulations

Hafize Basak Bayraktar and Ceren Ozer Sozdinler

Data sets

Tuzla-PTHA H. B. Bayraktar https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.12033789

Short summary

In this study, probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis was performed for the Tuzla region in case of a Prince Island fault rupture, which is the closest fault zone to the megacity Istanbul, and it has been silent for centuries. A synthetic earthquake catalog is generated using Monte Carlo simulations, and these events are used for tsunami analysis. The results of the study show that the probability of exceedance of 0.3 m tsunami wave height is bigger than 90 % for the next 50 and 100 years.