Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 20, issue 6
Articles | Volume 20, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1689-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1689-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 20, issue 6
Research article
 | 
08 Jun 2020
Research article |  | 08 Jun 2020

Event generation for probabilistic flood risk modelling: multi-site peak flow dependence model vs. weather-generator-based approach

Benjamin Winter, Klaus Schneeberger, Kristian Förster, and Sergiy Vorogushyn

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Short summary
In this paper two different methods to generate spatially coherent flood events for probabilistic flood risk modelling are compared: on the one hand, a semi-conditional multi-variate dependence model applied to discharge observations and, on the other hand, a continuous hydrological modelling of synthetic meteorological fields generated by a multi-site weather generator. The results of the two approaches are compared in terms of simulated spatial patterns and overall flood risk estimates.
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