State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Key Laboratory of
Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing 100875, China
Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, Boston University, Boston, 02215, USA
Weihang Liu
State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Key Laboratory of
Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
School of Geographic Science, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200241, China
State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Key Laboratory of
Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing 100875, China
State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Key Laboratory of
Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing 100875, China
Peijun Shi
State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Key Laboratory of
Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing 100875, China
Qiang Zhang
State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Key Laboratory of
Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing 100875, China
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Livestock and their owners in the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau has long suffered from snow disaster. In order to help the local herder community better prepare for potential loss, we developed a probabilistic disaster-event simulation approach, from which livestock loss induced by a snow disaster with specific intensity and local prevention capacity could be predicted. By using this method, we managed to estimate snow disaster duration, livestock loss rate, and number at different return periods.
Livestock and their owners in the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau has long suffered from snow...