The effect of alternative seismotectonic models on PSHA results – a sensitivity study for two sites in Israel

Avital, Matan; Kamai, Ronnie; Davis, Michael; Dor, Ory

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-499-2018

Articles | Volume 18, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-499-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

Linking faults to seismic hazard assessment in Europe

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-499-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 18, issue 2

Research article

|

15 Feb 2018

Research article |

| 15 Feb 2018

The effect of alternative seismotectonic models on PSHA results – a sensitivity study for two sites in Israel

Matan Avital, Ronnie Kamai, Michael Davis, and Ory Dor

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Short summary

We perform a hazard sensitivity study for two sites in Israel, exploring effects of uncertainty on the calculated seismic hazard. We account for uncertainty in the earthquake source properties, such as their geometric representation and seismic activity. We also account for uncertainty in the wave propagation path, by using alternative models to describe the ground motion calculations. We conclude that the current practice in Israel should be updated as it is probably underestimating the hazard.

The effect of alternative seismotectonic models on PSHA results – a sensitivity study for two sites in Israel

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