Articles | Volume 18, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-499-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-499-2018
Research article
 | 
15 Feb 2018
Research article |  | 15 Feb 2018

The effect of alternative seismotectonic models on PSHA results – a sensitivity study for two sites in Israel

Matan Avital, Ronnie Kamai, Michael Davis, and Ory Dor

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Short summary
We perform a hazard sensitivity study for two sites in Israel, exploring effects of uncertainty on the calculated seismic hazard. We account for uncertainty in the earthquake source properties, such as their geometric representation and seismic activity. We also account for uncertainty in the wave propagation path, by using alternative models to describe the ground motion calculations. We conclude that the current practice in Israel should be updated as it is probably underestimating the hazard.
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