Brief communication: Drought likelihood for East Africa

Yang, Hui; Huntingford, Chris

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-491-2018

Articles | Volume 18, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-491-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-491-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 18, issue 2

Brief communication

|

14 Feb 2018

Brief communication |

| 14 Feb 2018

Brief communication: Drought likelihood for East Africa

Hui Yang and Chris Huntingford

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Final revised paper (published on 14 Feb 2018)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 02 Jun 2017)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

- Printer-friendly version

- Supplement

RC1: 'REVIEW of Brief Communication: Drought Likelihood for East Africa by Hui Yang, Chris Huntingford', Anonymous Referee #1, 06 Jun 2017
- AC1: 'PLEASE READ - Corrected Figure 1c', Hui Yang, 26 Jun 2017
- AC3: 'Cover letter and combined response to reviewers', Hui Yang, 22 Aug 2017
- AC4: 'Revised paper', Hui Yang, 22 Aug 2017
- AC5: 'Revised paper with track changes', Hui Yang, 22 Aug 2017
RC2: 'Manuscript review', Anonymous Referee #2, 20 Jun 2017
- AC2: 'CORRECTED FIG1c - as separate file', Hui Yang, 26 Jun 2017
- AC6: 'Response to reviewer 2 - please see combined reply above under Reviewer 1', Hui Yang, 22 Aug 2017

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by Editor and Referees) (28 Aug 2017) by Bruno Merz

AR by Hui Yang on behalf of the Authors (26 Sep 2017) Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (06 Oct 2017) by Bruno Merz

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (18 Oct 2017)

RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (03 Nov 2017)

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (08 Nov 2017) by Bruno Merz

AR by Hui Yang on behalf of the Authors (01 Dec 2017) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (04 Dec 2017) by Bruno Merz

RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (15 Dec 2017)

ED: Publish as is (17 Dec 2017) by Bruno Merz

AR by Hui Yang on behalf of the Authors (20 Dec 2017) Manuscript

Post-review adjustments

AA: Author's adjustment | EA: Editor approval

AA by Hui Yang on behalf of the Authors (07 Feb 2018) Author's adjustment Manuscript

EA: Adjustments approved (12 Feb 2018) by Bruno Merz

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Short summary

Major drought in East Africa at the end of 2016 caused severe famine and loss of life. We pose the following question: are increasing levels of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, due to human activity, making droughts such as this more likely? Computer models of the climate system are powerful tools to answer this. Scanning across a full set of these, we find that how future climate change will impact on East Africa ASO drought risk remains uncertain, in any particular year.