Spatial consistency and bias in avalanche forecasts – a case study in the European Alps

Techel, Frank; Mitterer, Christoph; Ceaglio, Elisabetta; Coléou, Cécile; Morin, Samuel; Rastelli, Francesca; Purves, Ross S.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2697-2018

Articles | Volume 18, issue 10

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2697-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2697-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 18, issue 10

Research article

|

23 Oct 2018

Research article |

| 23 Oct 2018

Spatial consistency and bias in avalanche forecasts – a case study in the European Alps

Frank Techel, Christoph Mitterer, Elisabetta Ceaglio, Cécile Coléou, Samuel Morin, Francesca Rastelli, and Ross S. Purves

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Final revised paper (published on 23 Oct 2018)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 28 Mar 2018)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review: Spatial consistency and bias in avalanche forecasts - a case study in the European Alps', Karsten Müller, 24 Apr 2018
- AC3: 'response to review by Karsten Müller', Frank Techel, 22 Jul 2018
RC2: 'Review', Rune Engeset, 05 Jun 2018
- AC2: 'response to review by Rune Engeset', Frank Techel, 21 Jul 2018
RC3: 'Spatial consistency and bias in avalanche forecasts – a case study in the European Alps', Karl W. Birkeland, 10 Jun 2018
- AC1: 'response to review by Karl Birkeland', Frank Techel, 21 Jul 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (22 Jul 2018) by Joaquim G. Pinto

AR by Anna Wenzel on behalf of the Authors (07 Sep 2018) Author's response

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (17 Sep 2018) by Joaquim G. Pinto

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (19 Sep 2018) by Joaquim G. Pinto

RR by Rune Engeset (24 Sep 2018)

RR by Karsten Müller (04 Oct 2018)

ED: Publish as is (05 Oct 2018) by Joaquim G. Pinto

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Short summary

In 1993, the European Avalanche Warning Services agreed upon a common danger scale to describe the regional avalanche hazard: the European Avalanche Danger Scale. Using published avalanche forecasts, we explored whether forecasters use the scale consistently. We noted differences in the use of the danger levels, some of which could be linked to the size of the regions a regional danger level is issued for. We recommend further harmonizing the avalanche forecast products in the Alps.