Impact of asymmetric uncertainties in ice sheet dynamics on regional sea level projections

de Winter, Renske C.; Reerink, Thomas J.; Slangen, Aimée B. A.; de Vries, Hylke; Edwards, Tamsin; van de Wal, Roderik S. W.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2125-2017

Articles | Volume 17, issue 12

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2125-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2125-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 17, issue 12

Research article

| Highlight paper

|

04 Dec 2017

Research article | Highlight paper |

| 04 Dec 2017

Impact of asymmetric uncertainties in ice sheet dynamics on regional sea level projections

Renske C. de Winter, Thomas J. Reerink, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Hylke de Vries, Tamsin Edwards, and Roderik S. W. van de Wal

Download

Final revised paper (published on 04 Dec 2017)
Preprint (discussion started on 03 Apr 2017)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

- Printer-friendly version

- Supplement

SC1: 'Sea level contribution from the intensification of the terrestrial water cycle', Roelof Rietbroek, 15 May 2017
- AC1: 'Replay short comment', Renske de Winter, 17 May 2017
RC1: 'Paper has clear message and can be further improved by addressing some minor issues', Anonymous Referee #1, 14 Jun 2017
- AC2: 'Rebuttal RC1', Renske de Winter, 06 Sep 2017
RC2: 'accept with minor revisions', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Aug 2017
- AC3: 'Rebuttal RC2', Renske de Winter, 06 Sep 2017
AC4: 'revised manuscript', Renske de Winter, 06 Sep 2017

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by Editor) (06 Sep 2017) by Paolo Tarolli

AR by Renske de Winter on behalf of the Authors (08 Sep 2017) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (15 Sep 2017) by Paolo Tarolli

AR by Renske de Winter on behalf of the Authors (26 Sep 2017)

Short summary

This paper provides a full range of possible future sea levels on a regional scale, since it includes extreme, but possible, contributions to sea level change from dynamical mass loss from the Greenland and Antarctica ice sheets. In contrast to the symmetric distribution used in the IPCC report, it is found that an asymmetric distribution toward high sea level change values locally can increase the mean sea level by 1.8 m this century.