Articles | Volume 17, issue 12
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2125–2141, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2125-2017
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2125–2141, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2125-2017

Research article 04 Dec 2017

Research article | 04 Dec 2017

Impact of asymmetric uncertainties in ice sheet dynamics on regional sea level projections

Renske C. de Winter et al.

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This paper provides a full range of possible future sea levels on a regional scale, since it includes extreme, but possible, contributions to sea level change from dynamical mass loss from the Greenland and Antarctica ice sheets. In contrast to the symmetric distribution used in the IPCC report, it is found that an asymmetric distribution toward high sea level change values locally can increase the mean sea level by 1.8 m this century.
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