Verification of pre-monsoon temperature forecasts over India during 2016 with a focus on heatwave prediction

Singh, Harvir; Arora, Kopal; Ashrit, Raghavendra; Rajagopal, Ekkattil N.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1469-2017

Articles | Volume 17, issue 9

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1469-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1469-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 17, issue 9

Research article

|

06 Sep 2017

Research article |

| 06 Sep 2017

Verification of pre-monsoon temperature forecasts over India during 2016 with a focus on heatwave prediction

Harvir Singh, Kopal Arora, Raghavendra Ashrit, and Ekkattil N. Rajagopal

Data sets

The observed temperature (maximum) data over India IMDPUNE http://www.imdpune.gov.in/Seasons/Temperature/max/Max_Download.html

Model code and software

The observed temperature minimum) data over India IMDPUNE http://www.imdpune.gov.in/Seasons/Temperature/min/Min_Download.html

Short summary

Heatwave conditions prevailed at over wide regions of central and northern India during March–April–May 2016. A prevailing heatwave over India took more than 500 lives. Here we investigate the extreme events (heatwaves) using a high-resolution numerical weather prediction and its ensemble forecast in union with classical statistical scores to serve verification purposes.