Articles | Volume 17, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1469-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1469-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Sep 2017
Research article |
| 06 Sep 2017
Verification of pre-monsoon temperature forecasts over India during 2016 with a focus on heatwave prediction
Harvir Singh
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Ministry of
Earth Sciences, Noida, 201309, India
Kopal Arora
Swiss Re Global Business Solutions, Bangalore, 560027, India
Raghavendra Ashrit
National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Ministry of
Earth Sciences, Noida, 201309, India
Ekkattil N. Rajagopal
National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Ministry of
Earth Sciences, Noida, 201309, India
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Cited
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Observed changes in maximum and minimum temperatures over China- Pakistan economic corridor during 1980–2016 S. Ullah et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.09.020
- Heat Waves in India during MAM 2019: Verification of ensemble based probabilistic forecasts and impact of bias correction A. Dube et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105421
- Verification of Weather and Seasonal Forecast Information Concerning the Peri-Urban Farmers’ Needs in the Lower Ganges Delta in Bangladesh S. Paparrizos et al. 10.3390/atmos11101041
- Subseasonal drivers of extreme fire weather in Australia and its prediction in ACCESS-S1 during spring and summer A. Marshall et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05920-8
- A random forest model to predict heatstroke occurrence for heatwave in China Y. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.369
- Probabilistic medium-range forecasts of extreme heat events over East Asia based on a global ensemble forecasting system S. Tak et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100694
- Long-term forecast of heatwave incidents in China based on numerical weather prediction X. Xiao et al. 10.1007/s00704-023-04654-3
- Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on multiweek prediction of Australian rainfall extremes using the ACCESS-S1 prediction system A. Marshall et al. 10.1071/ES21001
- Seasonal variability and predictability of agro-meteorological indices: Tailoring onset of rainy season estimation to meet farmers’ needs in Ghana T. Gbangou et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2019.04.002
- Probabilistic post-processing of short to medium range temperature forecasts: Implications for heatwave prediction in India S. Saminathan & S. Mitra 10.1007/s10661-024-12418-3
- An Analysis of Prediction Skill of Heat Waves Over India Using TIGGE Ensemble Forecasts P. Rohini & M. Rajeevan 10.1029/2020EA001545
- Exploring the pre- and summer-monsoon surface air temperature over eastern India using Shannon entropy and temporal Hurst exponents through rescaled range analysis S. Karmakar et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.10.007
- Assessment of Risk and Resilience of Terrestrial Ecosystem Productivity under the Influence of Extreme Climatic Conditions over India S. Jha et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-55067-0
- Impact of INSAT‐3D land surface temperature assimilation via simplified extended Kalman filter‐based land data assimilation system on forecasting of surface fields over India A. Lodh et al. 10.1002/met.70019
- Real time extended range prediction of heat waves over India R. Mandal et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-45430-6
- Multimodel comparison and assessment of short to medium range precipitation and temperature forecasts over India: Implications towards forecasting of meteorological indices in India S. Saminathan et al. 10.1002/joc.8409
- Heat waves in India: patterns, associations, and subseasonal prediction skill R. Mandal et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07539-x
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Observed changes in maximum and minimum temperatures over China- Pakistan economic corridor during 1980–2016 S. Ullah et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.09.020
- Heat Waves in India during MAM 2019: Verification of ensemble based probabilistic forecasts and impact of bias correction A. Dube et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105421
- Verification of Weather and Seasonal Forecast Information Concerning the Peri-Urban Farmers’ Needs in the Lower Ganges Delta in Bangladesh S. Paparrizos et al. 10.3390/atmos11101041
- Subseasonal drivers of extreme fire weather in Australia and its prediction in ACCESS-S1 during spring and summer A. Marshall et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05920-8
- A random forest model to predict heatstroke occurrence for heatwave in China Y. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.369
- Probabilistic medium-range forecasts of extreme heat events over East Asia based on a global ensemble forecasting system S. Tak et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100694
- Long-term forecast of heatwave incidents in China based on numerical weather prediction X. Xiao et al. 10.1007/s00704-023-04654-3
- Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on multiweek prediction of Australian rainfall extremes using the ACCESS-S1 prediction system A. Marshall et al. 10.1071/ES21001
- Seasonal variability and predictability of agro-meteorological indices: Tailoring onset of rainy season estimation to meet farmers’ needs in Ghana T. Gbangou et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2019.04.002
- Probabilistic post-processing of short to medium range temperature forecasts: Implications for heatwave prediction in India S. Saminathan & S. Mitra 10.1007/s10661-024-12418-3
- An Analysis of Prediction Skill of Heat Waves Over India Using TIGGE Ensemble Forecasts P. Rohini & M. Rajeevan 10.1029/2020EA001545
- Exploring the pre- and summer-monsoon surface air temperature over eastern India using Shannon entropy and temporal Hurst exponents through rescaled range analysis S. Karmakar et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.10.007
- Assessment of Risk and Resilience of Terrestrial Ecosystem Productivity under the Influence of Extreme Climatic Conditions over India S. Jha et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-55067-0
- Impact of INSAT‐3D land surface temperature assimilation via simplified extended Kalman filter‐based land data assimilation system on forecasting of surface fields over India A. Lodh et al. 10.1002/met.70019
- Real time extended range prediction of heat waves over India R. Mandal et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-45430-6
- Multimodel comparison and assessment of short to medium range precipitation and temperature forecasts over India: Implications towards forecasting of meteorological indices in India S. Saminathan et al. 10.1002/joc.8409
- Heat waves in India: patterns, associations, and subseasonal prediction skill R. Mandal et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07539-x
Latest update: 22 Feb 2025
Short summary
Heatwave conditions prevailed at over wide regions of central and northern India during March–April–May 2016. A prevailing heatwave over India took more than 500 lives. Here we investigate the extreme events (heatwaves) using a high-resolution numerical weather prediction and its ensemble forecast in union with classical statistical scores to serve verification purposes.
Heatwave conditions prevailed at over wide regions of central and northern India during...
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