Articles | Volume 15, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1711-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1711-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Aug 2015
Research article |
| 03 Aug 2015
Probabilistic hurricane-induced storm surge hazard assessment in Guadeloupe, Lesser Antilles
LARGE-Laboratoire de Recherche en Géosciences, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Guadeloupe, Pointe-A-Pitre, France
now at: UMR7266, LIENSs, Université de la Rochelle, La Rochelle, France
B. Dudon
LARGE-Laboratoire de Recherche en Géosciences, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Guadeloupe, Pointe-A-Pitre, France
LARGE-Laboratoire de Recherche en Géosciences, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Guadeloupe, Pointe-A-Pitre, France
G-Mer Etudes Marines, Guadeloupe, Saint François, France
N. Zahibo
LARGE-Laboratoire de Recherche en Géosciences, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Guadeloupe, Pointe-A-Pitre, France
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Cited
26 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing the Potential Highest Storm Tide Hazard in Taiwan Based on 40-Year Historical Typhoon Surge Hindcasting Y. Yu et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10060346
- Individuals’ perceptions of areas exposed to coastal flooding in four French coastal municipalities: the contribution of sketch mapping M. Coquet et al. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-018-0107-3
- Storm surge hazard over Bengal delta: a probabilistic–deterministic modelling approach M. Khan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2359-2022
- Emulation as an approach for rapid estuarine modeling K. Parker et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2019.03.004
- Statistical estimation of spatial wave extremes for tropical cyclones from small data samples: validation of the STM-E approach using long-term synthetic cyclone data for the Caribbean Sea R. Wada et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-431-2022
- Evaluation of surge hazard based on a storm surge hazard indicator along the mainland coast of China X. Fu et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05820-6
- A hybrid multi-step storm surge forecasting model using multiple feature selection, deep learning neural network and transfer learning T. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-022-07508-8
- Coastal extreme sea levels in the Caribbean Sea induced by tropical cyclones A. Martín et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-587-2023
- Timescales of emergence of chronic flooding in the major economic center of Guadeloupe G. Le Cozannet et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-703-2021
- Can We Improve Parametric Cyclonic Wind Fields Using Recent Satellite Remote Sensing Data? Y. Krien et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs10121963
- Extreme storm surge induced coastal inundation in Yangtze Estuary regions Z. Pan & H. Liu https://doi.org/10.1007/s42241-019-0086-1
- Assessment of the exposure to coastal flood risk by inhabitants of French coasts: The effect of spatial optimism and temporal pessimism M. Coquet et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.05.004
- Hazard assessment of dynamic marine processes during two extreme weather systems near the Shandong Peninsula D. Mo et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seares.2024.102520
- Total Water Level Mitigation Related to Fringing Reef and Upperbeach Vegetation Status at a Hurricane Exposed Coast T. Laigre et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11030620
- Seiches in the Eastern Caribbean P. Woodworth https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-017-1715-7
- Storm-induced marine flooding on Morocco’s Atlantic Coast — case of El Jadida Bay I. Joudar et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06781-0
- Regional assessment of typhoon wind, wave, and current multi-hazards for offshore structure design using SWAN + ADCIRC: Sensitivity to reanalysis wind forcings and extreme value distributions Y. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2026.100899
- Combining uncertain machine learning predictions and numerical simulation results for the extreme value analysis of cyclone-induced wave heights – Application in Guadeloupe J. Rohmer et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2023.102275
- Reworking processes and deposits in coral reefs during (very) high-energy events: Example from a Pleistocene coral formation (125 ka), La Désirade Island, Lesser Antilles E. Vernhet et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2017.11.008
- A systemic and comprehensive assessment of coastal hazard changes: method and application to France and its overseas territories M. Igigabel et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1951-2024
- Quantifying processes contributing to marine hazards to inform coastal climate resilience assessments, demonstrated for the Caribbean Sea S. Jevrejeva et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2609-2020
- Rapid prediction of peak storm surge from tropical cyclone track time series using machine learning J. Lee et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2021.104024
- Assessing storm surge hazard and impact of sea level rise in the Lesser Antilles case study of Martinique Y. Krien et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1559-2017
- Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts S. Muis et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40157-w
- Hazard Assessment of Typhoon-Driven Storm Waves in the Nearshore Waters of Taiwan C. Chang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10070926
- Seasonal to Multi-Decadal Shoreline Change on a Reef-Fringed Beach T. Laigre et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/coasts3030015
26 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing the Potential Highest Storm Tide Hazard in Taiwan Based on 40-Year Historical Typhoon Surge Hindcasting Y. Yu et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10060346
- Individuals’ perceptions of areas exposed to coastal flooding in four French coastal municipalities: the contribution of sketch mapping M. Coquet et al. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-018-0107-3
- Storm surge hazard over Bengal delta: a probabilistic–deterministic modelling approach M. Khan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2359-2022
- Emulation as an approach for rapid estuarine modeling K. Parker et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2019.03.004
- Statistical estimation of spatial wave extremes for tropical cyclones from small data samples: validation of the STM-E approach using long-term synthetic cyclone data for the Caribbean Sea R. Wada et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-431-2022
- Evaluation of surge hazard based on a storm surge hazard indicator along the mainland coast of China X. Fu et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05820-6
- A hybrid multi-step storm surge forecasting model using multiple feature selection, deep learning neural network and transfer learning T. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-022-07508-8
- Coastal extreme sea levels in the Caribbean Sea induced by tropical cyclones A. Martín et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-587-2023
- Timescales of emergence of chronic flooding in the major economic center of Guadeloupe G. Le Cozannet et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-703-2021
- Can We Improve Parametric Cyclonic Wind Fields Using Recent Satellite Remote Sensing Data? Y. Krien et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs10121963
- Extreme storm surge induced coastal inundation in Yangtze Estuary regions Z. Pan & H. Liu https://doi.org/10.1007/s42241-019-0086-1
- Assessment of the exposure to coastal flood risk by inhabitants of French coasts: The effect of spatial optimism and temporal pessimism M. Coquet et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.05.004
- Hazard assessment of dynamic marine processes during two extreme weather systems near the Shandong Peninsula D. Mo et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seares.2024.102520
- Total Water Level Mitigation Related to Fringing Reef and Upperbeach Vegetation Status at a Hurricane Exposed Coast T. Laigre et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11030620
- Seiches in the Eastern Caribbean P. Woodworth https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-017-1715-7
- Storm-induced marine flooding on Morocco’s Atlantic Coast — case of El Jadida Bay I. Joudar et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06781-0
- Regional assessment of typhoon wind, wave, and current multi-hazards for offshore structure design using SWAN + ADCIRC: Sensitivity to reanalysis wind forcings and extreme value distributions Y. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2026.100899
- Combining uncertain machine learning predictions and numerical simulation results for the extreme value analysis of cyclone-induced wave heights – Application in Guadeloupe J. Rohmer et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2023.102275
- Reworking processes and deposits in coral reefs during (very) high-energy events: Example from a Pleistocene coral formation (125 ka), La Désirade Island, Lesser Antilles E. Vernhet et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2017.11.008
- A systemic and comprehensive assessment of coastal hazard changes: method and application to France and its overseas territories M. Igigabel et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1951-2024
- Quantifying processes contributing to marine hazards to inform coastal climate resilience assessments, demonstrated for the Caribbean Sea S. Jevrejeva et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2609-2020
- Rapid prediction of peak storm surge from tropical cyclone track time series using machine learning J. Lee et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2021.104024
- Assessing storm surge hazard and impact of sea level rise in the Lesser Antilles case study of Martinique Y. Krien et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1559-2017
- Spatiotemporal patterns of extreme sea levels along the western North-Atlantic coasts S. Muis et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-40157-w
- Hazard Assessment of Typhoon-Driven Storm Waves in the Nearshore Waters of Taiwan C. Chang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10070926
- Seasonal to Multi-Decadal Shoreline Change on a Reef-Fringed Beach T. Laigre et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/coasts3030015
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Jun 2026
Short summary
New maps of hurricane-induced surge levels that can occur on average once every 100- and 1000 years are drawn for Guadeloupe Island in the French West Indies, using a high-resolution wave-current coupled model and a large set of synthetic events that are in statistical agreement with historical storms. Results are found to differ significantly from past studies in wave-exposed areas, and should be of major interest for coastal planners and decision makers in terms of risk management.
New maps of hurricane-induced surge levels that can occur on average once every 100- and 1000...
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