Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 2
Articles | Volume 26, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-827-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-827-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 2
Research article
 | 
19 Feb 2026
Research article |  | 19 Feb 2026

Using seasonal forecasts to enhance our understanding of extreme wind and precipitation impacts from extratropical cyclones

Jacob W. Maddison, Jennifer L. Catto, Sandra Hansen, Ching Ho Justin Ng, and Stefan Siegert

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Short summary
Strong winds and heavy precipitation in extratropical cyclones can cause significant damage, and also considerable losses. Here, we estimate the worst case scenarios in terms of impacts that could occur in todays climate resulting from wind and precipitation in extratropical cyclones. We find impacts roughly 1.5 times more severe than any in the historical record for 14 countries considered in Northwestern/Central Europe. These damages would incur costs into the billions of pounds for insurers.
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