Modelling the effectiveness of GLOF DRM measures – a case study from the Ala-Archa valley, Kyrgyz Republic

Niggli, Laura; Frey, Holger; Allen, Simon; Alybaeva, Nazgul; Huggel, Christian; Moldobekov, Bolot; Zaginaev, Vitalii

doi:10.5194/nhess-26-733-2026

Articles | Volume 26, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-733-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-733-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 26, issue 2

Research article

|

06 Feb 2026

Research article |

| 06 Feb 2026

Modelling the effectiveness of GLOF DRM measures – a case study from the Ala-Archa valley, Kyrgyz Republic

Laura Niggli, Holger Frey, Simon Allen, Nazgul Alybaeva, Christian Huggel, Bolot Moldobekov, and Vitalii Zaginaev

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Cited articles

Allen, S., Rastner, P., Arora, M., Huggel, C., and Stoffel, M.: Lake outburst and debris flow disaster at Kedarnath, June 2013: hydrometeorological triggering and topographic predisposition, Landslides, 13, 1479–1491, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-015-0584-3, 2016.

Allen, S., Frey, H., Huggel, C. et al.: GAPHAZ 2017: Assessment of Glacier and Permafrost Hazards in Mountain Regions – Technical Guidance Document, Standing Group on Glacier and Permafrost Hazards in Mountains (GAPHAZ) of the International Association of Cryospheric Sciences (IACS) and the International Permafrost Association (IPA), Zurich, Switzerland/Lima, Peru, 72 pp., https://gaphaz.org/data-reports (last access: 3 February 2026), 2017.

Allen, S., Zhang, G., Wang, W., Yao, T., and Bolch, T.: Potentially dangerous glacial lakes across the Tibetan Plateau revealed using a large-scale automated assessment approach, Sci. Bull. (Beijing), 64, 435–445, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2019.03.011, 2019.

Ballesteros Cánovas, J. A., Stoffel, M., Corona, C., Schraml, K., Gobiet, A., Tani, S., Sinabell, F., Fuchs, S., and Kaitna, R.: Debris-flow risk analysis in a managed torrent based on a stochastic life-cycle performance, Science of the Total Environment, 557–558, 142–153, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.03.036, 2016.

Bartelt, P., Bieler, C., Bühler, Y., Christen, M., Deubelbeiss, Y., Graf, C., McArdell, B., Salz, M., and Schneider, M.: RAMMS: DEBRISFLOW User Manual v1.8.0, https://ramms.ch/wp-content/uploads/RAMMS_DBF_Manual.pdf (last access: 3 February 2026), 2022.