Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5815-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5815-2026
Research article
 | 
13 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 13 Nov 2026

Evaluating the performance of a numerical weather prediction model for precipitation and temperature in Luxembourg and the Greater Region: insights from WRF and WRFDA 3D-VAR

Haseeb ur Rehman, Felicia Norma Rebecca Teferle, Addisu Hunegnaw, Rohith Muraleedharan Thundathil, Jens Wickert, and Florian Zus

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Cited articles

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Auligné, T., McNally, A. P., and Dee, D. P.: Adaptive bias correction for satellite data in a numerical weather prediction system, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 631–642, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.56, 2007. a
Barker, D. M., Huang, W., Guo, Y.-R., Bourgeois, A., and Xiao, Q.: A three-dimensional variational data assimilation system for MM5: implementation and initial results, Mon. Weather Rev., 132, 897–914, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<0897:ATVDAS>2.0.CO;2, 2004. a, b
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Short summary
We tested whether assimilating conventional weather observations and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) satellite delay data improves Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) forecasts of rain and temperature over Luxembourg and the Greater Region in the month around the July 2021 floods. How the model’s background errors are represented mattered more than which observations were used. With an error model derived from the study month, GNSS data improved forecasts of light and moderate rain, while no setup was clearly best for temperature.
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