Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5541-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5541-2026
Research article
 | 
03 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 03 Nov 2026

Multi-scale dynamics and mesoscale drivers of the catastrophic September 2022 Marche (central Italy) flood

Matteo Berton, Elenio Avolio, and Mario Marcello Miglietta

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-2573', Anonymous Referee #1, 16 Aug 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Matteo Berton, 25 Sep 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-2573', Anonymous Referee #2, 04 Sep 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Matteo Berton, 25 Sep 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Submit a revised manuscript (28 Sep 2026) by Jean-Baptiste Filippi
AR by Matteo Berton on behalf of the Authors (30 Sep 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (30 Sep 2026) by Jean-Baptiste Filippi
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (02 Oct 2026)
RR by Carlos Calvo-Sancho (08 Oct 2026)
ED: Publish as is (08 Oct 2026) by Jean-Baptiste Filippi
AR by Matteo Berton on behalf of the Authors (16 Oct 2026)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
To understand the 2022 Marche flood, we used a high-resolution weather numerical model. We found that the Apennine mountains anchored the storm, causing continuous, extreme rainfall. Furthermore, our tests reveal the storm's extreme sensitivity to initial and boundary conditions. We show that a slight timing mismatch between the low-level incoming moisture and upper-level dynamics produces completely different rain patterns, making these catastrophic events incredibly difficult to predict.
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