Articles | Volume 26, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4763-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4763-2026
Research article
 | 
02 Oct 2026
Research article |  | 02 Oct 2026

A quantitative methodology for analysing physical damage and recovery dynamics from concurrent and consecutive hazards: forensic insights from Puerto Rico

Alessandro Borre, Daria Ottonelli, Eva Trasforini, Tatiana Ghizzoni, Roberto Rudari, Giacomo Zoppi, Giorgio Boni, and Silvia De Angeli

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Cited articles

Aljawhari, K., Gentile, R., Freddi, F., and Galasso, C.: Effects of ground-motion sequences on fragility and vulnerability of case-study reinforced concrete frames, B. Earthq. Eng., 19, 6329–6359, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-01006-8, 2021. a
Borre, A. and De Angeli, S.: Multi-Hazard Impact Assessment Framework, Zenodo [code], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22773741, 2026. a
Borre, A., Ghizzoni, T., Trasforini, E., Ottonelli, D., Rudari, R., and Ferraris, L.: Developing the Recovery Gap Index: A Comprehensive Tool for Assessing National Disaster Recovery Capacities, Sustainability, 17, 1044, https://doi.org/10.3390/su17031044, 2025. a
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Short summary
This study presents a quantitative method to capture how damage caused by concurrent and consecutive hazard events evolves, including how earlier damage and ongoing recovery affect later events. Applied to a sequence of hurricanes and earthquakes in Puerto Rico, it shows that ignoring residual damage significantly underestimates the impacts caused by consecutive events.  By accounting for recovery and interaction effects, the method supports more realistic damage assessment and risk planning.
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