Articles | Volume 26, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4675-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-4675-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Spatial machine learning modelling reveals that soil indicators and tree type best explain shallow landslide release
Denise Christina Rüther
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Environmental Sciences, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Sogndal, Norway
Kristine Flacké Haualand
Department of Environmental Sciences, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Sogndal, Norway
Iris Louisa Johanna Peeters
Department of Environmental Sciences, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Sogndal, Norway
Department of Technology and Safety, The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
Mark Andrew Kusk Gillespie
Department of Environmental Sciences, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Sogndal, Norway
Department of Ecoscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark
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We studied how well a high-resolution weather model simulates atmospheric conditions over a glacier in the Austrian Alps. By comparing model results with extensive field observations from weather stations, lasers, and research drones, we found that the model accurately captures temperature, moisture, and wind patterns. Some errors remain close to the surface and during transitions of wind regimes. Overall, the model provides a reliable tool to support future climate and glacier research.
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Southeast Greenland is often affected by damaging windstorms from the Greenland ice sheet. Using weather observations, we find that these windstorms have footprints covering several 100 km in the horizontal and several km in the vertical. The largest seasonal differences are warming instead of cooling and larger reductions in humidity in summer compared to winter. Our findings improve our understanding of spatial and temporal characteristics of these windstorms in the present and future climate.
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Severe downslope windstorms (locally known as piteraq) impact southeast Greenland communities and global ocean currents. Using high-resolution weather reanalysis, we show how piteraq events are driven by massive cold weather systems colliding with Greenland. As the dense air plunges down the steep coastal slopes, it accelerates into concentrated low-level jets. Recognizing the associated large-scale preconditioning will improve early warning systems and future climate predictions.
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Melting glaciers worldwide cause changes in land surface type and elevation that may impact regional climate. In a weather and climate model, we find that these changes result in warming and less precipitation, particularly less snow, over Jostedalsbreen ice cap in western Norway. Most of these impacts are related to thinning of the ice cap and the associated lowering of the surface and reduction in orographic lifting of moist air masses. The findings suggest accelerated melting of the ice cap.
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Short summary
We use several machine learning models to explore which factors best explain landslide release during an extreme rainfall event in eastern Norway. As landslides often occur in clusters, methods must be chosen carefully to account for any spatial effects. When considering this, we find that south-facing slopes, thicker soils and more water made landslides most likely. On forested slopes, landslides are most likely in deciduous rather than spruce or pine stands.
We use several machine learning models to explore which factors best explain landslide release...
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