Articles | Volume 26, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3417-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3417-2026
Research article
 | 
22 Jul 2026
Research article |  | 22 Jul 2026

Deep Learning Emulation of Multivariate Climate Indices: A Case Study of the Fire Weather Index in the Iberian Peninsula

Óscar Mirones, Joaquín Bedia, Pedro M. M. Soares, José M. Gutiérrez, and Jorge Baño-Medina

Data sets

Toy Dataset for Emulating the Fire Weather Index (FWI) Using Deep Learning Techniques Oscar Mirones et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15075367

Interactive computing environment

Deep Learning-Based Emulation of the Fire Weather Index in the Iberian Peninsula Using ERA5-Land Predictors: A toy example. SantanderMetGroup https://github.com/SantanderMetGroup/DeepFWI

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Short summary
Wildfire danger is usually measured with a formula needing weather data from a specific time of day, often missing in climate simulations. Scientists have relied on a rough substitute that can be inaccurate. We trained artificial intelligence models on Iberian Peninsula weather records to recreate the proper measure using only common daily data. This proved far more accurate than the usual substitute, even without rainfall data, easing wildfire risk assessment for climate research and planning.
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