Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2111-2026
Copyright waived. This work has been dedicated to the public domain (Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication).
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2111-2026
Copyright waived. This work has been dedicated to the public domain (Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication).
Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
Research article
 | 
08 May 2026
Research article |  | 08 May 2026

An improved empirical model for predicting postfire debris-flow volume in the western United States

Alexander N. Gorr, Francis K. Rengers, Katherine R. Barnhart, Matthew A. Thomas, and Jason W. Kean

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Short summary
Postfire debris flows are fast-moving landslides that pose a significant risk to downstream communities around the world. Accurately predicting how large postfire debris flows will be, before they occur, allows us to better understand the potential effects of future events. In this study, we develop a new method for predicting postfire debris-flow volume in the western United States. Results show that this new method outperforms existing volume models and can improve postfire hazard assessments.
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