Articles | Volume 26, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1573-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Development and validation of an Early Warning System for coastal flooding operating on a Mediterranean urban beach
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- Final revised paper (published on 31 Mar 2026)
- Preprint (discussion started on 17 Jun 2025)
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Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2292', Anonymous Referee #1, 27 Jun 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Antonis Chatzipavlis, 21 Jul 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2292', Anonymous Referee #2, 30 Jun 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Antonis Chatzipavlis, 21 Jul 2025
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AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (24 Aug 2025) by Oded Katz
AR by Antonis Chatzipavlis on behalf of the Authors (05 Oct 2025)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (10 Nov 2025) by Oded Katz
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (14 Feb 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (19 Feb 2026) by Oded Katz
AR by Antonis Chatzipavlis on behalf of the Authors (02 Mar 2026)
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ED: Publish as is (15 Mar 2026) by Oded Katz
AR by Antonis Chatzipavlis on behalf of the Authors (16 Mar 2026)
The paper focuses on a highly relevant topic: Early Warning Systems for storm-induced overwash in a coastal region. While the paper is well written and structured, I believe three key topics require further attention from the authors before publication.
1) The first and most important of these is the correct definition of Overwash and Flood. In fact, the authors only evaluate “smaller” berm overtopping (traces) and “larger” berm overtopping (which they call overwash and flood) and never mention dune overwash or the flood/inundation of assets. I have made several comments on this issue below, and I think the authors should consider Sallenger’s regimes for this study. They could even introduce a “berm overtopping” regime as a complement.
2) Secondly, the authors should also clearly indicate the indicators to be used in the EWS regarding assets. While they recognise the necessity of indicators for the EWS in the Introduction, they never mention what thresholds are used or what warning levels have been defined (and why). This is never clearly stated throughout the paper. What warning levels exist, and how will they be sent to the first responders, managers, and the population?
3) Thirdly, the entire validation uses all data, including a large majority of low-energy conditions, whereas the EWS is designed for storms. Thus, the authors should clearly define the thresholds above which it is considered a storm for the purposes of this study, and then validate only values above these thresholds. Validation against mild or low wave conditions is not very meaningful when dealing with this type of work.
Detailed comments are provided below, including reinforcement of the points already mentioned.
Methodology:
Figure 1: Please include the name Poetto Beach in Figure 1b); Please include the acronym CAM after videocameras in the caption of Figure 1.
Lines 149-151: Not easy to understand and split between these two concepts. Is overwash simply when the berm is surpassed by the run-up, and is flood simply when there is extensive water over the berm? Is that correct? Please be clearer. Why don’t you use Sallenger's terminology for overwash and inundation? Why is the berm crest used instead of the dune crest? This is berm overtopping, not overwash.
Line 150: What do you mean by "limited water coverage"? Is it the maximum limit inland reached by the water? The meaning of limited and extended water coverage is unclear, which is paramount to understanding the rest of the paper.
Line 158: above you have beta in italic for the foreshore slope, but not here. Please check for consistency. Please check all acronyms.
Lines 160-161: Why is berm height used and not dune height? If there are dunes inland (even low ones), flooding should only occur after the dunes (or an obstacle where there are no dunes) have been overpassed, and not the berm. It is possible to have berm overtopping with no flooding for infrastructures. Please justify this choice.
Lines 184-185: Integrating measured bathymetry with the lower-resolution data from EMODNET is not simple, especially since EMODNet data often has relatively high vertical errors. How did you merge the data into the grid, and how were these potential vertical errors considered?
Lines 223-226: Is this enough? Waves forecasted with these global models are often underpredicted during storms. It is most likely that the EWS will also underestimate the flood hazard. What has been done to minimise this problem and ensure that there is no underestimation?
Lines 234-235: The tide gauge should only measure the sea level. How did you compare wind and wave data with data from the tide gauge?
Line 246: Replace Ruju and Viola 2024 by Ruju and Viola (2024). Check the references throughout the text. There are some minor typos.
Table 2: Table 2 is first included in the text and only mentioned afterwards. It should be the other way around. Please revise it for the final version. The explanation of the variables should not be inside the table. Some of the variables have already been explained in the text, so there is no need to repeat them.
Results:
Line 274: The retreat is true, but only for the berm. The dune does not appear to have major changes in position (only in height). Therefore, it does not affect the entire profile.
Line 276: Is this the reason for the flat and lowered berm profiles at P2 in the last two surveys?
Line 278: Why has the dune crest lowered? Wave overtopping? Wind removal without compensation at the front? Human trampling? This has never been explained or analysed, even though the paper is about overwash (runup exceeding dune height).
Lines 285-286: I disagree that this threshold is commonly used. In the vast majority of the existing works, the dune height is used as the threshold for coastal flooding. As can easily be seen from the two profiles, the berm can be overwashed, and there will still be enough berm for water percolation and infiltration before reaching the dune elevation. Flooding of human settlements will only occur after overwashing the dune crest and not the berm crest, unless there is significant occupation on top of the berm during winter, in which case, the risk to that occupation needs to be assessed. Is that the case?
Line 287: “flooding threshold values in NEPTUNE-EWS”. This must be clearly explained. Why is he berm crest used instead of the dune crest? In Sallenger's regimes and all other derived works, it is always the dune elevation and never the berm elevation. If there is a dune between the road, the houses, and the waves, it should be the dune crest to be used, not the berm crest. If there is no dune, then you should use the maximum elevation before any human structure. If there are buildings between the dune and the berm crest, then two thresholds are needed: one for the flood of the infrastructure between the berm and the dune (which can be the berm crest) and another for the flooding of the assets behind the dune (the dune crest elevation). However, this simple approach (using berm crest) is not capable of distinguishing between different levels of berm overtopping, dune overwash or inundation, and therefore it does not work properly as an EWS.
Line 346: "the" and not them
Line 351: Would it be possible to correct the values or apply a correction that would suit and improve the data, particularly for storms?
Line 369 and data analysis for the 45 days period: The analysis was performed on the full 45-day dataset. However, for an EWS focused on storms, the analysis should cover a longer period and focus only on deviations during storms. The authors should have selected a threshold for storms (at least a simple Hs threshold) and analysed the data above that threshold only. From the records, I can see only one or two potential storms for the analysed period. The fit is very good for the highest storm, and better than what I would expect from global models at coastal locations.
Line 382: “low wave heights”. Yes, but for a storm model, the concern with small wave heights is probably minimal. This is the reason why the analysis should focus on wave conditions with the potential to cause Overwash, rather than on all conditions.
Line 397: Are these waves relevant to the analysis? Do they produce overwash? If not, why analyse them?
Lines 426-427: It seems that there is a 10 cm vertical difference between most of the shown records. However, the BIAS shows almost no difference (1 cm). So, why is there an underestimation during storms when the opposite should occur? The model is most probably not correctly predicting storm surge.
Line 438: What happens when you average the entire set of storm data? Is there a vertical difference? According to the BIAS, the difference for the entire series is almost 0. Is it the same for storms, or is the model unable to correctly reproduce the storm surge? For a model that considers storms, the analysis should focus mostly on storm data and not on all data.
Lines 439-440: I believe so, but wouldn't it be better to apply a correction?
Table 4: You have some values of mean Hs of 0.6 m to 0.8 m and periods of around 6-7 s. Is that really a storm capable of generating Overwash, or is it because you defined the berm crest as the limit for Overwash, meaning that lower waves can produce overwash events?
Figures 14, 15 and 16 (caption): I think this is the first time you have referred to a Flood State, mentioning classes No trace, Overwash and Flood. What do these terms mean? You defined these terms in a very simple (and not entirely accurate) way at the end of 2.1 study Area, which is strange. This definition is the most important in the paper and should not be at the end of the Study Area. You should clearly state what a Flood State (or Regime, since not all conditions lead to flooding) means. You should use Sallenger's regimes. Does Flood correspond to Inundation in the Sallenger regime? I don't think so. How do you differentiate between Overwash and Flood? I think you are only analysing berm overtopping and not true dune Overwash, as it should be.
Lines 491-581: The event-by-event description (lines 491 - 581) is tedious and should be simplified, probably using a table to summarise these results.
Line 499 and figures 14 and 15: In figures 14 and 15 you distinguish between overwash and flooding. Here, however, you combine both. Why? Why are you not adopting Sallenger's terminology and concepts?
Discussion
Lines 638-640: This is true, but in general, I would say that for beaches that are exposed to wave action, the runup must be included. In sheltered areas such as estuaries and backbarriers, however, this is not necessary because small waves with short periods do not contribute to effective flooding. Therefore, in this case, it is important to include the wave-induced runup. This does not necessarily contradict other studies, but rather represents the correct definition of what is relevant for each environment.
Line 641: “flooding predictions”. This could refer to berm flooding or berm overtopping. You never mention flooding of roads or structures, even though the entire introduction points to that. I would say that the introduction of this paper misleads the reader, and the definitions are not clear enough to effectively state that you are only analysing berm overtopping and not dune overwash or infrastructure overwash/flood. This must be clear throughout the paper.
Lines 643-657: This description from line 643 until 657 partially repeat the results.
Conclusions
Line 689: This paper presents the validation of a potential warning system, rather than the warning system itself. All the data and discussion is about the validation, not the EWS and its implementation.
Line 700: You are forecasting berm overtopping, not coastal flooding. These are quite different.
Line 701: The meaning of a storm event for the region was never defined, and this should be done before any data analysis. The data analysis should focus primarily on the storm events and exclude calm conditions.