This paper investigates the relationship between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and coastal hazard risk in the U.S. Pacific Northwest (PNW) using probabilistic simulations of climate patterns, weather patterns, and coastal hazard drivers. Results indicate there is a weaker relationship between ENSO and PNW coastal hazard risk than suggested by observations. These findings advance understanding of ENSO dynamics and support climate-informed hazard management.