Articles | Volume 25, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3779-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3779-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Oct 2025
Research article |
| 06 Oct 2025
| 06 Oct 2025
Assessing economic impacts of future GLOFs in Nepal's Everest region under different SSP scenarios using three-dimensional simulations
Wilhelm Furian
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climatology Lab, Geography Department, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Tobias Sauter
Climatology Lab, Geography Department, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Short summary
Glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) continue to threaten high-mountain communities in Nepal. We simulate potential GLOF events from five glacial lakes in the Everest region during the 21st century using a 3D flood model and several breach and SSP scenarios. Large GLOFs could extend over 100 km and inundate 80 to 100 km of roads/trails, 735 to 1989 houses and 0.85 to 3.52 km2 of agricultural land. The results help to assess the changing GLOF impacts and support more accurate risk assessments.
Glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) continue to threaten high-mountain communities in Nepal. We...
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