Articles | Volume 25, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2197-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2197-2025
Research article
 | 
04 Jul 2025
Research article |  | 04 Jul 2025

Dynamic fragility of a slender rock pillar in a carbonate rock mass

Alaa Jbara and Michael Tsesarsky

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2024-150', Anonymous Referee #1, 26 Nov 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Michael Tsesarsky, 07 Jan 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on nhess-2024-150', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 Dec 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC2', Michael Tsesarsky, 07 Jan 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (08 Jan 2025) by Oded Katz
ED: Publish as is (14 Feb 2025) by Oded Katz
ED: Publish as is (31 Mar 2025) by Oded Katz
AR by Michael Tsesarsky on behalf of the Authors (10 Apr 2025)  Author's response   Manuscript 
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Short summary
Fragile geologic features test long-term seismic hazard models. We modeled a free-standing 42 m high rock pillar in Israel’s Negev Desert using a validated finite-element model based on aerial lidar, in situ rock data, and measured vibrations. Dynamic analysis shows an M 7 quake on the Dead Sea Transform (45 km) will not break it, but an M 6 quake on the Sinai–Negev Shear Zone (6–20 km) probably will. With a fragility age of 11.4 kyr, the pillar challenges the SNSZ’s (Sinai–Negev Shear Zone) ability to produce M 6 events.
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