Articles | Volume 24, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4683-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4683-2024
Research article
 | 
20 Dec 2024
Research article |  | 20 Dec 2024

Examining the Eastern European extreme summer temperatures of 2023 from a long-term perspective: the role of natural variability vs. anthropogenic factors

Monica Ionita, Petru Vaideanu, Bogdan Antonescu, Catalin Roibu, Qiyun Ma, and Viorica Nagavciuc

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Cited articles

Alexander, L. V: Global observed long-term changes in temperature and precipitation extremes: A review of progress and limitations in IPCC assessments and beyond, Weather and Climate Extremes, 11, 4–16, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2015.10.007, 2016. 
Bakke, S. J., Ionita, M., and Tallaksen, L. M.: Recent European drying and its link to prevailing large-scale atmospheric patterns, Sci. Rep.-UK, 13, 21921, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-48861-4, 2023. 
Ballester, J., Quijal-Zamorano, M., Méndez Turrubiates, R. F., Pegenaute, F., Herrmann, F. R., Robine, J. M., Basagaña, X., Tonne, C., Antó, J. M., and Achebak, H.: Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022, Nat. Med., 29, 1857–1866, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-023-02419-z, 2023. 
Barriopedro, D., García-Herrera, R., Ordóñez, C., Miralles, D. G., and Salcedo-Sanz, S.: Heat Waves: Physical Understanding and Scientific Challenges, Rev. Geophys., 61, e2022RG000780, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022RG000780, 2023. 
Beckett, A. D. and Sanderson, M. G.: Analysis of historical heatwaves in the United Kingdom using gridded temperature data, Int. J. Climatol., 42, 453–464, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7253, 2022. 
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Eastern Europe's heat wave history is explored from 1885 to 2023, with a focus on pre-1960 events. The study reveals two periods with more frequent and intense heat waves (HWs): 1920s–1960s and 1980s–present. The research highlights the importance of a long-term perspective, revealing that extreme heat events have occurred throughout the entire study period, and it emphasizes the combined influence of climate change and natural variations on increasing HW severity.
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