Articles | Volume 24, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4409-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4409-2024
Research article
 | 
06 Dec 2024
Research article |  | 06 Dec 2024

Simulating the effects of sea level rise and soil salinization on adaptation and migration decisions in Mozambique

Kushagra Pandey, Jens A. de Bruijn, Hans de Moel, W. J. Wouter Botzen, and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts

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This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).
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Cited articles

Aerts, J. C.: A review of cost estimates for flood adaptation, Water, 10, 1646, https://doi.org/10.3390/w10111646, 2018. 
Anami, B. S., Malvade, N. N., and Palaiah, S.: Classification of yield affecting biotic and abiotic paddy crop stresses using field images, Information Processing in Agriculture, 7, 272–285, 2020. 
Atzori, G.: Four Species with Crop Potential in Saline Environments: The SALAD Project Case Study, Environ. Sci. Proc., 16, 54, https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022016054, 2022. 
Bourhim, M. R., Cheto, S., Qaddoury, A., Hirich, A., and Ghoulam, C.: Chemical seed priming with zinc sulfate improves quinoa tolerance to salinity at germination stage, Environm. Sci. Proc., 16, 23, https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2022016023, 2022. 
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Short summary
As sea levels rise, coastal areas will experience more frequent flooding, and salt water will start seeping into the soil, which is a serious issue for farmers who rely on good soil quality for their crops. Here, we studied coastal Mozambique to understand the risks from sea level rise and flooding by looking at how salt intrusion affects farming and how floods damage buildings. We find that 15 %–21 % of coastal households will adapt and 13 %–20 % will migrate to inland areas in the future.
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