Articles | Volume 24, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-411-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-411-2024
Research article
 | 
06 Feb 2024
Research article |  | 06 Feb 2024

Climate change impacts on regional fire weather in heterogeneous landscapes of central Europe

Julia Miller, Andrea Böhnisch, Ralf Ludwig, and Manuela I. Brunner

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Short summary
We assess the impacts of climate change on fire danger for 1980–2099 in different landscapes of central Europe, using the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI) as a fire danger indicator. We find that today's 100-year FWI event will occur every 30 years by 2050 and every 10 years by 2099. High fire danger (FWI > 21.3) becomes the mean condition by 2099 under an RCP8.5 scenario. This study highlights the potential for severe fire events in central Europe from a meteorological perspective.
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