Articles | Volume 24, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3225-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3225-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
24 Sep 2024
Research article |
| 24 Sep 2024
| 24 Sep 2024
Convection-permitting climate model representation of severe convective wind gusts and future changes in southeastern Australia
Andrew Brown
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Andrew Dowdy
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Todd P. Lane
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
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Short summary
A computer model that simulates the climate of southeastern Australia is shown here to represent extreme wind events associated with convective storms. This is useful as it allows us to investigate possible future changes in the occurrences of these events, and we find in the year 2050 that our model simulates a decrease in the number of occurrences. However, the model also simulates too many events in the historical climate compared with observations, so these future changes are uncertain.
A computer model that simulates the climate of southeastern Australia is shown here to represent...
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